LovingGulfLows
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Well RGEM actually trended better for me. Now I'll actually see some token flakes at the end. #winning
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Showmeyourtds
Member
Is it technically a bust if BMX downgrades to an advisory ahead of time?
I don't think so. The models trend at the time were pretty good for what they issued. I am sure after all the 12z and 18z runs are completed today they will reevaluate the situation.
Flurry
Member
I'm thinking the Southern shift is about done...Several days ago models were saying the area of concern was basically the I-59/I-20 corridor...I'm thinking that's going to be the sweet spot...We can enjoy digging out of our woefully pathetic 2 inches, but I will take it this Winter...It's left a lot to be desired 
packfan98
Moderator
And the GFS looks better than 6z so far hr30. Figures.
SnowMan
Member
12z GFS is showing slightly more tilt and colder.
Storm5
Member
It sucks I have to ride the gfs over the short range models
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SnowMan
Member
Improving...
Stormlover
Member
He's always the snow buster lover. GFS coming back some.
WXinCanton
Member
What a garbage model that I currently am in love with
Storm5
Member
06z vs 12z
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Stormlover
Member
You don't want to know. He's a met. that loves to bust hopes of snow lovers. He loves it.
Showmeyourtds
Member
GFS...we toss, right? Just trying to be consistent & principled.
ATLwxfan
Member
Atlanta Public Schools closed tomorrow. The proverbial nail in the coffin. GFS dusting causing havoc.
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Looks to be slowing down, hence more moisture
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Is there anyway a full fledged low forms near the gulf? The 12z GFS looks to try!?
addicted2boost
Member
lol.. I should have not said anything. You don't want to know. I'll be quite now.
Would be nice if the artic front could speed up then that wave at the gulf can overrun cold air but that pv press is strong 
ATLwxfan
Member
This is banter but can we get Southern Wx tee shirts that read “Who is Rob Smith?”
I’d pay top dollar.
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I can’t imagine. GFS is saying 3” for some and short range models are saying a flurry if you’re lucky. I would ride the American model to the grave. Good luck everybody
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
Just my observation I may be interpreting things wrong. It seems to me that over the last couple days the gfs has been the most steady and consistent. Even as the other models have had some wild swings it has not been swayed. Of course it could just be it being the stubborn gfs
NoSnowJoe
Member
Interesting how the snow line generally falls along 1-20 or I-85 in Ga. I’m 10 miles south of 1-85 in Coweta County.
Storm5
Member
12z cmc is a nod towards the NAM. Of course it’s looked like hell for the past 4 days
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Yea. Would think they would wait till after 12z and 18z completed since it not affecting them til later on in the day tomorrow.
ATLwxfan
Member
Storm looks to hit at the worst time. Too early for early dismissal options
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TerryInTucker
Member
Also, Kemp closed all State offices, so I'm sure that persuaded them a bit.
Clayton county is closing tomorrow.
accu35
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Should have another frame left12z cmc is a nod towards the NAM. Of course it’s looked like hell for the past 4 days
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Ron Burgundy
Member
They are going to avoid Snow Jam III whatever the cost.
HixsonWX
Member
Something I've noticed is that the models seem to be trending worse for SE TN/NW GA but the NWS and local mets are remaining bullish on accumulation totals. What are they seeing that most of the models aren't showing?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I can say they have about 0.3 inches here now. But that's just FFC. I can't figure out Morristown's call map and why it's so high.
packfan98
Moderator
There were 2 threads created for school closings. We are going with the one posted first:
https://southernwx.com/community/threads/jan-29-30-winter-weather-school-closings.521/
https://southernwx.com/community/threads/jan-29-30-winter-weather-school-closings.521/
ChattaVOL
Member
The HRRR looks to be slowing down a little also. Somewhat of a change from the 14z to 15z.
Well the latest CMC is definitely improved across the board for the SE compared to it's junky past runs definitely toward NAM and sorta GFS like but totals and temp still got ways to go further into AL/GA but steps in that direction
LovingGulfLows
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Most models have actually improved for me personally this cycle surprisingly enough.