ForsythSnow
Moderator
Looks a bit wetter than 0Z so far. Hoping for the best, but I'm sure it'll disappoint over here again.
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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
ATLwxfan
Member
Haha damn
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Fulton County Crush Job!
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Storm5
Member
Damn if I lived in northern miss and ala I’d be worried as hell with the trends to the heavier precip shifting south
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Euro is useless now! NAM and HRRR ride or die!
Storm5
Member
If the euro by a degree or two more of this would be snow for some
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Storm5
Member
Jackpot over my house . 36 hours out what could go wrong 
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RollTide18
Member
Haha damn
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I just can't buy a skinny strip of snow between areas of rain, gotta be an error especially if the precip is heavy enough.
accu35
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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This is getting better for my area as well. I've been saying south trendJackpot over my house . 36 hours out what could go wrong
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Yep need that south sift to stop right there and hold !Jackpot over my house . 36 hours out what could go wrong
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Snowflowxxl
Member
Great to have Euro back on board! ATL better be ready
Kylo
Member
Kucha Kucha
packfan98
Moderator
Good looking precip map. .4” of qpf for many. I’ll take my chances with that.
accu35
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Anything can happen really, but south trend has clearly been on the models/Ens
Kylo
Member
Yeah, models seem to be targeting 85 corridor for QPF max. Would be great if someone there gets 2”.
AL/TN Line
Member
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Huntsville discussion has not changed a thing as of 12:15 ctNws huntsville going down on totals and talking like we might not get much if anything at all now
Storm5
Member
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I’m staring to think this is becoming a more wetter issue east of mountains now.
wait why was there a increase in qpf east of the mountains ?
Sref plumes is still right at 2 1/2 inch for north Alabama area.
PennyForYoutThoughts
Member
Am I right in assuming that the fv3 model brings the cold air in quite a bit before the rain moves out in order to get the snow all the way to the gulf coast in LA, Miss, ALa and Fla panhandle?
Didn't someone say earlier that the SREF is garbage ?
HSVweather
Member
Meanwhile, Spann says no change after latest models.
I am riding with gives mby the most. ??
Also in this range I go with short range models.
I am really surprised with how aggressive Spann is being. His "boom" says 4" but I don't really see anything that indicates 4" is a real possibility for Birmingham.
Stormlover
Member
heck no it is not. The NWS used it a lot for these events...smh
Stormlover
Member
BAMS model showing temps of at 8AM Tues...with snowfall
Central MS scores with this run of the Euro. I'd be very happy with this.All in
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Storm5
Member
They are often wrong and too aggressive . Not always , but often
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Yeah because you will be near Jackson right ?
Yeah, mby might just see a few flakes at the end per this morning's NWS discussion for the local office.
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Also guys you need to remember this. This is a artic airmass that is coming in. It is going to squeeze all the available moisture in the air.
Winter Storm
Member
Spann is thinking models could be underplaying the intensity of the cold air. This means a quicker change and leading to a possible longer duration of snow in some spots.
Stormlover
Member
Sure haven't. Same discussion from 5:34 this morning..but all of a sudden fake news says they've changed and we may not get anything, LOL
Just as a reminder we're now less than 36 hours away from the event for some of us. The short range models will have to be watched.
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Stormlover
Member
Bham and other NWS offices use them for these events, it is much better than the global models now
the SREF
mean has increased to near 1.5 inches for Birmingham. Several
SREF members are now in the 2 to 4 inch range as well.
SREF at 2.55 up here at Hunstville
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Really nice increase on the FV3, and increase in precip on the Euro for central NC. Trends have definitely been positive today for seeing some snow here with this one.