May get close to seeing the first shot fired by the Euro.
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Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 1,290
- Reaction score
- 3,248
I remember hoping for the NW trend during the storm that battered Savannah/Charleston last year and it never happened. That being said, I love the very tall western ridge being modeled by the GFS ensembles. The ridge near Greenland is also very nice.
Very interesting look on the Euro. At 168hrs both Euro and FV3 have a very similar look. However the Euro then dampens the ridge out west and allows a powerful SW to break off the Aleutian low into the west coast. The FV3 does not, and while the model shows nothing, 500mb screams a big time threat.
Should be very interesting to see the result and what may be our first significant threat time frame.
Should be very interesting to see the result and what may be our first significant threat time frame.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I was wondering if it would be better to post on the November thread now instead of this one since everyone seems to be talking about specific model runs and threats now instead of overall thoughts on winter. It seems the pre-game show is over, and it's game time now!
pcbjr
Member
Nice way to potentially end the month and start the next ...
MAYDAY! Plenty of cold where it needs to be
Kylo
Member
Such big differences in the pacific day 7-8+ with the GEFS/EPS.
just a little ...... is feel a lot better if they were switched around. Day 7/8 isn’t that far off . I hardly ever bet against the EPS
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18z GFS isn't looking promising,
I'll bet against the EPS every time. Yes I'm still ill.
That being said it, the 18z GFS has a 561dm ridge north of the Hudson. Crazy.
toss
Good luck storm hunting beyond 168hrs or so. The OPs go nutty like crazy trying to resolve this. Incredible weather pattern setting up.
Going to toss the 18z. It looks like crap
whatalife
Moderator
Just checking in to see how the 18z GFS is working out for everyone...
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Complete chaos. Gotta get rid of that gigantic low in the Pacific.
pcbjr
Member
Welcome to weather ...
~~~~~~~~~
It'll settle down, and then someone somewhere will be happy and someone else somewhere will be sad ... so enjoy the uncertainty and know in your heart of hearts that the someone sad lives way outside this neck of the world ...
NoSnowATL
Member
November 19Welcome to weather ...
~~~~~~~~~
It'll settle down, and then someone somewhere will be happy and someone else somewhere will be sad ... so enjoy the uncertainty and know in your heart of hearts that the someone sad lives way outside this neck of the world ...
pcbjr
Member
Precisely. You extrapolate exceedingly well ...
Jessy89
Member
I’m not so sure many people score the first week of December. Perhaps mid December be better.
Something is missing!?? Oh yeah, that giant +PNA ridge! That escalated quickly!Complete chaos. Gotta get rid of that gigantic low in the Pacific.