I know it's early and lots of uncertainty, but local mets are saying to not expect ANYTHING from this in my area, not even rain!
Yeah I saw that this morning but decided not to post it.... this belongs in banter. Lol jk, obviously anything can happen but ummm no.Let's all take a moment to lol at the obviously wrong NAM. Would be horrible if true, but it's not going to be that strong.
I know it's early and lots of uncertainty, but local mets are saying to not expect ANYTHING from this in my area, not even rain!
It's there for sure, and convection appears to be catching up to it. If it does, this thing will look way better later today. Otherwise, hopefully they fly in today. We need to know what it's doing lol.I see a naked swirl
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Would this ultimately depend on strength and who is south and east of the Northeast quadrant of the system?KBMX is talking about a tornado threat for Thursday
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It's there for sure, and convection appears to be catching up to it. If it does, this thing will look way better later today. Otherwise, hopefully they fly in today. We need to know what it's doing lol.
Would this ultimately depend on strength and who is south and east of the Northeast quadrant of the system?
Except that the moisture plume will stretch far eastward, so SC and GA and later on NC would get tons of rain. So long as you look at the flow of moisture you will see that us out here will still get tons of rain. The GFS from this morning seems to be a good example.^^^^^ Unfortunately there's some peeps in Ga, SC and NC that would be left out with any of those tracks..... which seems very plausible
^^^^^ Unfortunately there's some peeps in Ga, SC and NC that would be left out with any of those tracks..... which seems very plausible
Saying they would be "left out" poor choice of words, however if it develops and tracks that far inland the heaviest rain or tons of rain will be along and east of the track. I definitely should have left Ga out of the statement but the map you posted there shows tons of rain along the coast into Al & Ga and if you continue out further it does increase some up this way but nothing like along the track.... Many variables here including how it interacts with a stalled out front, when it develops, where it goes, etc and I know how to follow the flow of moisture. I'm no expert never claimed to be but pretty sure I've followed storms longer than you've been on this earth. Part of my comment also was for the purposes of a few guys on here who've missed out on tons of rain lately when everything pointed to them getting it.... it's weather, it's why it's fun to watch and follow along.Except that the moisture plume will stretch far eastward, so SC and GA and later on NC would get tons of rain. So long as you look at the flow of moisture you will see that us out here will still get tons of rain. The GFS from this morning seems to be a good example.
I totally disagree too, I totally disagree with myself most of the time Lol.... glad I could invoke some good discussionI totally disagree . The fetch of moisture is massive . Any of those tracks will work . Look I just need JHS and SD to receive some rain .
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk