accu35
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Yeah, GFS and GFS Para 12z is a hit at the same area, around New Orleans/MS area
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Tropical Tropical Storm Cindy
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
pcbjr
Member
IMHO - it's all an educated crap shoot until some recon is in and digested ... 2¢ and now back to our regularly scheduled thoughts ... 
whatalife
Moderator
IMHO - it's all an educated crap shoot until some recon is in and digested ... 2¢ and now back to our regularly scheduled thoughts ...
Yep. Trust no model until then.
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pcbjr
Member
recon for this afternoon cancelled ... back to educated musings ....
Gfs and para both are taking steps towards the euro
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whatalife
Moderator
pcbjr
Member
Hey - don't be sad, don't be blue, that's what this site is for, educated musings for me and you!
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RollTide18
Member
Why was it canceled?
pcbjr
Member
No organization worth investigating at this point.
(in other words, June slop at this point in time)
pcbjr
Member
pcbjr
Member
Hey! If nothing else, and at the very least, this is a good dress rehearsal just to shake off the cobwebs and reacquaint with models and concepts not used since last October ... we'll build on and benefit from this re-education during the coming Sept/Oct, no doubt ...
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Even if 93L doesn't directly make landfall in the southeastern US, it seems plausible that a large proportion of its moisture will stream northward into the southeastern US next week...
12z euro still into Texas but it takes it much further north into the central gulf vs previous runs
Edit: just looked at 00z euro . Looks similar . Didn't realize
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Edit: just looked at 00z euro . Looks similar . Didn't realize
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accu35
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Euro could trend north abit more closer to the gfs and gfs para.Central gulf coast impact
pcbjr
Member
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Deep tropical moisture will stream into Gulf coast states on the backside of likely tropical storm. Heavy rainfall major coastal threat. <a href="https://t.co/s9xKKYGG9h">pic.twitter.com/s9xKKYGG9h</a></p>— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) <a href="">June 18, 2017</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Anything is possible but I still favor the euro solution for now. Regardless of track as Webber pointed out. It's very possible moisture levels increase this week across the southeast
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pcbjr
Member
They will.
12z gefs keeps trending further and further west .
Euro trend continues
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Euro trend continues
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pcbjr
Member
... and on and on it goes ...
But Levi is usually pretty spot on ...
But Levi is usually pretty spot on ...
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Certainly does look that way. I'm all for the rain here. We need it to end this drought. Looking at the temperatures by the GFS and the CMC since I can't look at the Euro's, they both show as this system moves close to the coast a large inflow of moisture and cooler temperatures.