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Tropical Major Hurricane Maria

I don't see a true/strong ULL to pull it inward like the Hugo situation. I'm also using free maps though.
 
Looking over the GEFS member placement, it's not a horrible off solution from the Euro.. lots of chances for NC to get a hit..
 
Well thinking...
1) It s a " race" to names Lee vs Marie
2) A short watch/warning window for islands already impacted... .
 
Storm5 said:
Didn't we just do this a few weeks ago with the Hugo comparisons????
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Upper pattern isn't that dissimilar from Hugo minus the ull Shawn mentioned. Doesn't mean it won't change but it's no different than winter analogs imo

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SD said:
Upper pattern isn't that dissimilar from Hugo minus the ull Shawn mentioned. Doesn't mean it won't change but it's no different than winter analogs imo

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No argument from me with those points. And yes i know this setup is different from that of irma Just seems like Hugo gets brought up everytime there APPEARS to be an east coast threat . I guess it's the blizzard of 93 of the tropical world
However we just did this a few weeks ago, I think people forgot how the ridge got stronger and stronger as we moved forward in time and the track shifted as you have mentioned. Again , different setup but I bring it up to remind people that lots can and will change. Still lots of time , timing will be key. 8-10 days is a LONG way out. Hell you were pricing generators at day 6 with Irma and it shifted way SW.
 
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Well, I Think this storm will make people happy and piss them off...how about that? LOL. In all seriousness, this is all coming down to timing *as always*. I do think the window OTS is a little higher initially, but models do shut the door quickly the further west it goes.
 
deltadog03 said:
Well, I Think this storm will make people happy and piss them off...how about that? LOL. In all seriousness, this is all coming down to timing *as always*. I do think the window OTS is a little higher initially, but models do shut the door quickly the further west it goes.
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Lol definitely true. Irma was frustrating enough, so I'm not looking for anything like her again. We have a long way to go, so the only safe thing to say is its headed west for now and could have advisories today.
 
I might be wrong, but doesn’t Hurricane hits on the US tend to come in bunches?
 
Not good for the Islands recovering from Irma.
145528_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
 
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