Webberweather53
Meteorologist
12z UKMET still insists on reintensification of 94L when it reaches the SW Atlantic, definitely an outlier in that regard but not impossible...
Nothing is seemingly impossible this year ... too many aberrations already ...12z UKMET still insists on reintensification of 94L when it reaches the SW Atlantic, definitely an outlier in that regard but not impossible...
They probably aren't doing anything because they think it won't develop into anything or it "Isn't developed". Honestly when they begin dropping chances of cyclone formation that pretty much puts the last nail in the coffin for the system for now at least.Im really not sure what in the hell the NHC is waiting for but Im pretty sure 94L is at least a tropical depression atm. Im sorry but tropical wave axes rarely have consolidated moderate-deep, consistently pulsating convection like this for nearly 24 hours, not to mention there was a low-level swirl on visible satellite yesterday that was quickly covered by convection last night during diurnal maximum...
They probably aren't doing anything because they think it won't develop into anything or it "Isn't developed". Honestly when they begin dropping chances of cyclone formation that pretty much puts the last nail in the coffin for the system for now at least.
It does look healthy though, so I have no idea why it isn't at least a PTC.
.Is it possible it can become a TS?Tropical Depression Four certainly looks similar to the precursor to Tropical Storm Ana (2009) (Tropical Depression Two) with a low-level circulation near the eastern edge of a moderate-deep sheared, circular, symmetrical CDO, although Four doesn't look quite as sheared as Two (2009) did due to its slower forward movement...
View attachment 656
.Is it possible it can become a TS?
The CMC actually tried to do that the other day as wellFrom another board, but what it shows is the UKMET thinking TD4 will strengthen close to land. Not sure if this is one run or not.
Interesting NHC takes note of what the UKMET is showing as well.... keep one eye on that possibilityThe CMC actually tried to do that the other day as well