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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

Shawn said:
our wave is being anal-lyzed. get ready bois.
fdsfs.png
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We shall see if it follows the held back event like the CMC or if it goes south like the NAM.
 
HUN is biting now:
However, given upper
level forcing with this front, think that it could be briefly
moderate to heavy between 3 AM and 7 AM on Sunday near the TN/AL
state border and in Southern Middle Tennessee. Half of an inch to 2
inches of snowfall accumulation on the ground looks possible, with more or less than that depending.
 
Looks like there might be a hit in SC this run too. Oh lordy. Woe is me.
 
mayday.... mayday.... mayday..... in case y'all missed it the first time!! Lol

If it whiffs me altogether on the first wave I'll be too warm for the second, just a little bummed by that
 
On the map above, one would guess where it goes from the lighter to heavier stuff around the lake smack dab middle of SC (Lake Murray) is where the 850mb is going back and forth between 0 and +1-2
 
2nd system a little warmer still and after all this the MA and NE will win again..... why did we ever think differently?

edit: 2nd system about the same, it's close for NC that's for dang sure
 
Storm5 said:
I cancelled my two Kentucky rooms so far

Hell if I go to the ne I'd have like 30 booked lol


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If you go at least find one of the NE posters from the other board and throw snowballs at them
 
I'll probably be Morristown TN, 3-5 in there
 
Storm5 said:
Gfs brings light snow to Tennessee next Tuesday


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And a cold arse rain for here..... I mean really the 540 line is like 300 miles past me for that system and bl sucks

Oh I spoke too soon, some token powder on the way out Tuesday night
 
I am totally fine with 1-2 inches and really even an inch. The local news is going with 1-2 inches for north of I40 and I think that's a good call. As I said earlier I won't be surprised if some places do a little better. I'm super thankful that I am even going see snow fall from the sky in two days considering it's 74 degrees imby at the moment.
 
olhausen said:
I am totally fine with 1-2 inches and really even an inch. The local news is going with 1-2 inches for north of I40 and I think that's a good call. As I said earlier I won't be surprised if some places do a little better. I'm super thankful that I am even going see snow fall from the sky in two days considering it's 74 degrees imby at the moment.
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Where the hell is the Nashville afd I can't find an updated one


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Shawn said:
On the map above, one would guess where it goes from the lighter to heavier stuff around the lake smack dab middle of SC (Lake Murray) is where the 850mb is going back and forth between 0 and +1-2
Click to expand...

Insert Madonna's "Borderline".
 
Hopefully we can get some snow down here in Chattanooga, but unfortunately I'll be in NYC and in a travel nightmare with a possible blizzard.


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12z run tomorrow should really shed some light as the shortwave should be over Seattle. It'll be interesting to see what gets sampled since there is some interaction with an upper low off of the BC coast tonight and how much it gets sheared during that time. Obviously yht models have a pretty good handle but any extra umph would be nice. I'm not expecting a sudden huge jump in QPF but any northward trend of the precip shield would be appreciated

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