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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

Almost within range of NWS RAH "scenarios". Let's be real though, other than maybe March 1927 (Nashville (31"), Wilson (30")) and January 1922 (Roxboro (36"), when are we gonna even come close to 36"? Much less 100". I probably won't see 100" of snow combined over my entire life here in NC
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Webberweather53 said:
Almost within range of NWS RAH "scenarios". Let's be real though, other than maybe March 1927 (Nashville (31"), Wilson (30")) and January 1922 (Roxboro (36"), when are we gonna even come close to 36"? Much less 100". I probably won't see 100" of snow combined over my entire life here in NC
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Dadgum it Webb! Quit with the NC snow - we need FL snow ... LOL :cool:
 
Literally went for an annual eye exam earlier with no change in prescription. Thought I needed to go back after I started noticing floaters all over this page. :D
 
Too early to say, but the NAM early on took a drastic cool down in Nebraska this run. Maybe a sign that the high will come in stronger or sooner?

Edit: The cold appears to be moving faster on this run? Looks a bit weird to me, so we may see something surprising.
 
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NAM fail incoming!
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
LOL we may not see the storm enter the Carolinas this run after all
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Slowing down is good, to a point, can get the cold entrenched, if moisture ever comes!?
 
Tarheel1 said:
Awesome! That can't be good for the Carolinas
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Actually GREAT run for Carolinas
namconus_ref_frzn_seus_51.png
 
Yes, this NAM solution looks just about what will likely happen. Nothing insane, nothing much for SC. Wouldn't be surprised to see other areas taken out even (CLT possibly).
 
Here is a good idea of the setup and the rain/snow line that makes sense:
namconus_T850_seus_52.png
 
Weak 850 low in SE NC almost a stalled 850mb front over NC adding convergence
b580773e558b4989a528c42e672dd3a9.jpg


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Snow depth at 84 obviously some melting going on but NAM still says accumulations
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