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Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

tonysc said:
And this my friends is why I never give up on snow till the end of March. Have seen it too many times.
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Hope you are talking about seeing rain!? That's about all SC will see, at best!
 
12z euro isn't that far off . Just needs the northern stream to speed up to give NC a better chance early next week


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Some of you folks are hilarious with how often you throw in the towel so soon.
 
Here are the 12z gefs members through Monday
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Storm5 said:
I agree too much bitching going on for a possible snow threat in MARCH!!!!!


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I don't like how you say "possible". At this point there should be more confidence, being close to 2 days out.
 
Storm5 said:
I agree too much bitching going on for a possible snow threat in MARCH!!!!!


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And people seem to forget we always walk the line here, especially in NC, and just the smallest of things can make the difference between getting nothing or a huge storm.
 
Allan Huffman going with Dusting to 1/2 for Raleigh. 1/2 to 1 inch for Charlotte and 2-4" with more at higher elevations in East TN and West NC.
 
12z eps favors a western track with the Monday Tuesday east coast storm . 12z Canadian ensembles were west of the 12z CMC as well


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CoreyTheSecond said:
Isn't the 12z Nam close to snow for Atlanta?
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Not at all for Atlanta itself, but rather areas such as Forsyth NEward and then north of Carrolton Northward while Cherokee is entirely missed per the 12Z. There is a warm nose that will probably verify and take Forsyth and Dawson out though.

As far as the Euro is concerned now, I think it was a bad run, or that it is outside it's best prediction area. I would be paying more attention to the NAM at this point, and starting tomorrow the other short range models. However, if there begins to be a slower trend in the models, I would hang up any snow chances in NC for Sunday. However, I would then begin to bank more on a Monday or Tuesday storm due to a delay in the system, but the cold air will be present. If the storm does slow, the East half of NC won't do well, but the other half would.
 
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Slowly but surely the EPS has been coming around to the idea of a coastal bomb near the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic on Monday & Tuesday. Worth re-iterating even if this overrunning event doesn't materialize, at least if you're in the Carolinas and points north, you're not entirely out of the woods wrt wintry weather.
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Webberweather53 said:
Slowly but surely the EPS has been coming around to the idea of a coastal bomb near the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic on Monday & Tuesday. Worth re-iterating even if this overrunning event doesn't materialize, at least if you're in the Carolinas and points north, you're not entirely out of the woods wrt wintry weather.
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Do you think that if this thing does bomb off the coast, that it could bring in enough cold air to Georgia and parts of SC to give snowfall?
 
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