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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Nick_boynton_ said:
At this point I’m thinking the only way anyone sees anything in the south east would be with a CAD event .. if that SER rages like it’s showing only way we’re going to combat it is through big systems moving in leaving some cold air behind and hopefully getting another on it’s heels .. if not we’re royally screwed
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Uh oh! Man down! We're even losing the optimists now guys. ?‍♂️
 
2 weeks ago I thought February was going to be cold with below normal temperatures for most of the month. That's not looking that way now. Let's be honest here, nobody knows how exactly the weather is going to shape up, we can just make best guesses, and sometimes those guesses don't go as thought. The way this winter has been, I think it will continue the way it has been going. As we know, the moisture isn't the problem, the lack of cold air is the problem. Even if it does get cold enough for snow, the moisture is long gone. I'm afraid this isn't our winter as I thought it was going to be.

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My bold predictions for the rest of the winter:
  1. No measurable snow for pretty much the entire Deep South, ATL, GSP, and RDU.
  2. February is 2-4°F AN with one day having highs near 80°F
  3. March is about 5°F BN. In Late March, a flizzard occurs for parts of NC west of I-85, similar to what we had last year in April. East of I-85 gets rain only.
 
CyclonicFury said:
My bold predictions for the rest of the winter:
  1. No measurable snow for pretty much the entire Deep South, ATL, GSP, and RDU.
  2. February is 2-4°F AN with one day having highs near 80°F
  3. March is about 5°F BN. In Late March, a flizzard occurs for parts of NC west of I-85, similar to what we had last year in April. East of I-85 gets rain only.
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The only bold thing here is the feb anomalies.

I'll get bold too +8-11 for Feb one of the warmest on record.
-6-9 for march with accumulating snow south of I20.
 
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CyclonicFury said:
My bold predictions for the rest of the winter:
  1. No measurable snow for pretty much the entire Deep South, ATL, GSP, and RDU.
  2. February is 2-4°F AN with one day having highs near 80°F
  3. March is about 5°F BN. In Late March, a flizzard occurs for parts of NC west of I-85, similar to what we had last year in April. East of I-85 gets rain only.
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That would be the normal. We know for a fact some weird random winter event will likely happen in March, possibly early April. It's done that several years in a row now.
 
CyclonicFury said:
My bold predictions for the rest of the winter:
  1. No measurable snow for pretty much the entire Deep South, ATL, GSP, and RDU.
  2. February is 2-4°F AN with one day having highs near 80°F
  3. March is about 5°F BN. In Late March, a flizzard occurs for parts of NC west of I-85, similar to what we had last year in April. East of I-85 gets rain only.
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That's actually not a bad prediction, it's realistic the way this winter has been going.

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CyclonicFury said:
My bold predictions for the rest of the winter:
  1. No measurable snow for pretty much the entire Deep South, ATL, GSP, and RDU.
  2. February is 2-4°F AN with one day having highs near 80°F
  3. March is about 5°F BN. In Late March, a flizzard occurs for parts of NC west of I-85, similar to what we had last year in April. East of I-85 gets rain only.
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I can assure you that the 2019 April blizzard of the century struck east of 85 too
 
SD said:
The only bold thing here is the feb anomalies.

I'll get bold too +8-11 for Feb one of the warmest on record.
-6-9 for march with accumulating snow south of I20.
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After the past few years I associate February with warmer weather than March. It really puts it into perspective how unusual February 2015 was.
 
CyclonicFury said:
My bold predictions for the rest of the winter:
  1. No measurable snow for pretty much the entire Deep South, ATL, GSP, and RDU.
  2. February is 2-4°F AN with one day having highs near 80°F
  3. March is about 5°F BN. In Late March, a flizzard occurs for parts of NC west of I-85, similar to what we had last year in April. East of I-85 gets rain only.
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Please happen on a Saturday or Sunday, and be sunny! I'm ready to spend the day outside!
 
Parker said:
Jimmy, you better not be giving up on our mountain snow.
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I’m all in on early Sunday morning! The high country has had some decent snow the last week so there should be plenty to see, ski and sled in. Plus, if you miss this weekend it’s all going to be melted before next weekend. This is it. All downhill from here
 
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I’m all in on early Sunday morning! The high country has had some decent snow the last week so there should be plenty to see, ski and sled in. Plus, if you miss this weekend it’s all going to be melted before next weekend. This is it. All downhill from here
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Im just hoping elevation saves me. NWS said in there Hazardous weather outlook that elevations above 3500 could see some accumulation friday afternoon through Saturday morning, so that is nice to see.
 
Parker said:
Im just hoping elevation saves me. NWS said in there Hazardous weather outlook that elevations above 3500 could see some accumulation friday afternoon through Saturday morning, so that is nice to see.
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Yeah. I think I’m more worried about moisture than anything. I hope you guys kill it Friday night. We’re going to drive down Saturday morning. The Mrs. has to work late Friday so we’re going that route
 
I just got an email about Colorado tourism. I guess they are trying to rub it in that they have all the snow this winter lol.
 
Nothing is breaking through that SER if it's as strong as it's been modeled over the past few runs.
1050HP....nope
Even the moisture feed gets cut off by the end and it ends up warm and dry. I guess there could be worse things, but it really zaps any hopes for a winter miracle for the next few weeks. Bummer!
 
... well I can’t even be positive anymore ... what a shi* show on the 12z modeling ... truly an ugly winter this has been and I can’t even try to spin it positively anymore .. and I know almost in the out of my stomach we’re going to get an absolute amazing pattern ... April 3rd probably
 
Nick_boynton_ said:
... well I can’t even be positive anymore ... what a shi* show on the 12z modeling ... truly an ugly winter this has been and I can’t even try to spin it positively anymore .. and I know almost in the out of my stomach we’re going to get an absolute amazing pattern ... April 3rd probably
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It will be the final dagger in the heart
 
Nick_boynton_ said:
... well I can’t even be positive anymore ... what a shi* show on the 12z modeling ... truly an ugly winter this has been and I can’t even try to spin it positively anymore .. and I know almost in the out of my stomach we’re going to get an absolute amazing pattern ... April 3rd probably
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How about July to temper the heat some.


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