I'm trying to get some thoughts together/ideas laid out for the last week this month for the pattern and for a winter storm. More thoughts/ideas will come to me over time. As I've been saying, I'm ALL IN during the last week for something really good! I don't want to really say too much at this time, cause of course the time range is still a ways out and things will change. But, I have a few idea's laid out. One of the things I like to do is to look for trends so far over this winter season. One of those trends is that there has been blocking over a good portion of Canada and over extreme northern sections of the US. So, it's also possible that there would be blocking over a good portion in Canada during the last week this month. This blocking would of course amplify storm systems to the south, especially when the low gains latitude.
Another trend so far this season is an active sub-tropical jet. It's looking likely that the sub-tropical jet will become less active and suppressed during the first strong cold surge next week. I'm still thinking that the sub-tropical jet will become active again during towards the last week. So, if there will be a low in the Gulf, it would probably be rich with moisture. Moisture coming from the Pacific and the Gulf. It's surely possible we're going to see a well defined strong deepening low, rich with moisture in the Gulf on the models sometime during the last week. I think we're going to have that legitimate winter storm to track within 10 days. If you have noticed any (good) trends so far this winter, please add it in.
Another trend so far this season is an active sub-tropical jet. It's looking likely that the sub-tropical jet will become less active and suppressed during the first strong cold surge next week. I'm still thinking that the sub-tropical jet will become active again during towards the last week. So, if there will be a low in the Gulf, it would probably be rich with moisture. Moisture coming from the Pacific and the Gulf. It's surely possible we're going to see a well defined strong deepening low, rich with moisture in the Gulf on the models sometime during the last week. I think we're going to have that legitimate winter storm to track within 10 days. If you have noticed any (good) trends so far this winter, please add it in.
that's how everyone is going to be like if my predictions comes true. Seriously though, I get it, my predictions aren't supported by scientific evidence and don't have hard core scientific literature. Weather predictions don't always have to be backed by science. 
