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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Shawn said:
Told you guys the Euro was a good model.
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KyloG said:
I know Webber probably has been pulling his hair out the past couple of days trying to convince people the NAM's weren't out to lunch and the Euro was. Will see how this verifies tomorrow but to see all the globals move toward the NAM's....
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metwannabe said:
My guess is you will see some with the western Offices this afternoon and I would not be surprised if Rah didn't hold off until the night shift.
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Morristown, TN has already issued a WWA for the mountains of NC from 4am tomorrow until 10pm tomorrow night.
 
We might as well just play a game of Russian Roulette with these models, bet some cash... you know, at least make this somewhat all worthwhile. It's going to be a long night for many of us. Better put on some pots of coffee or get yourself a 24 pack. We are all going to need it!
 
SD said:
That's north of the nam.
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I was literally about to post how the strong banding and warm nose always ends up a hair NW of where the models have it...GRIT's been on that for years and is usually right.
 
After reading GRIT's post...I think the 18z NAM's going to jackpot Richmond to Arlington. #ihatesnow
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Oh I'm sure they'll be correct. They nailed the Dec 2018 storm. Ridiculous we have a chance to be snow holed for the year. GA and the SW upstate cash in now NC. Ridiculous
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Lol not here. Went to bed with them calling for 5" of sn/ip got less than 2.5" of mainly sleet
 
This is why I complain. Of course I lived in CAE during this in 2018 and figured I'd never get snow holed like this again in my life. Yet just 2 years later here I sit. Just in a different location.Screenshot_20200219-141410_Messenger.jpg
 
WxBlue said:
What a fun forecast to make... ? but I really think frontogenesis-aided band is gonna hammer someone in NE NC somewhere. I have widespread 2-4" mainly because of the back-end band moving out of the area, but most of NC/SC border area should start with rain and sleet. Wake County gradient, as always, was the toughest to forecast. But someone above my pink dotted zone is gonna do really well along the US 64/ US 264 corridor. The whole system is moving fast enough that I can't see anything more than 8 inches in eastern NC... but we'll see!

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I just happen to know someone in NE NC.......
 
The Jan 2004 event is really close at the surface

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Y'all should feel good about the fact, that before this is all said and done I'll be screwed too... for 2 days now I've been in the jackpot of all maps. I'm doomed
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
This is why I complain. Of course I lived in CAE during this in 2018 and figured I'd never get snow holed like this again in my life. Yet just 2 years later here I sit. Just in a different location.View attachment 35646
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Snowless & Grumpy said:
This is why I complain. Of course I lived in CAE during this in 2018 and figured I'd never get snow holed like this again in my life. Yet just 2 years later here I sit. Just in a different location.View attachment 35646
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You're still in the south, so there's always a possibility to get snow-holed. I recalled in the early-January 2011 winter storm where several folks in central and Eastern NC got the shaft as the storm IIRC lost it's moisture, while many folks in the Midlands ended up anywhere between 3-7 inches of snow with a touch of sleet/freezing rain.
 
That giddy feeling when watches and advisories begin going out..hard to explain to a non snow goober
 
ColaSnow said:
You're still in the south, so there's always a possibility to get snow-holed. I recalled in the early-January 2011 winter storm where several folks in central and Eastern NC got the shaft as the storm IIRC lost it's moisture, while many folks in the Midlands ended up anywhere between 3-7 inches of snow with a touch of sleet/freezing rain.
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This is very true. January 2011 and December 2017 are prime examples of how central NC often doesn't jackpot when the Deep South does.
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Ruh roh. Tensions rising on WxWatch’s FB page as interlopers are rustling the jimmies of the weenie masses he is relentlessly feeding.

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As much of a weenie forecast as that is, there's actually some indication there could be snow outside of the mountains in N GA at the middle to the end. It just rides the line with heavy precip, but that map of his is way too over the top. I'd say N Forsyth NEward or S Dawson NEward for the mix and no accumulations outside that. close.png
 
ForsythSnow said:
As much of a weenie forecast as that is, there's actually some indication there could be snow outside of the mountains in N GA at the middle to the end. It just rides the line with heavy precip, but that map of his is way too over the top. I'd say N Forsyth NEward or S Dawson NEward for the mix and no accumulations outside that. View attachment 35659
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Yes, and that's actually the toned-down map of the one he had the day before. I really don't have a problem with someone having some fun with weather discussion / calls on FB but people think he's a met and are talking about canceling doctor's appointments, etc., based on what he says. That part bothers me.
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Yes, and that's actually the toned-down map of the one he had the day before. I really don't have a problem with someone having some fun with weather discussion / calls on FB but people think he's a met and are talking about canceling doctor's appointments, etc., based on what he says. That part bothers me.
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Anybody who believes what they read on Facebook deserves what they get
 
Time for happy hour. Based on the recent SREFs, the NAM should be juicy at least.
 
metwannabe said:
My guess is the mid-atlantic crew are licking their chops
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Yeah, can almost guarantee the warming aloft continues north. Hopefully in the end, it will be far enough to take them completely out of the game!
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Ruh roh. Tensions rising on WxWatch’s FB page as interlopers are rustling the jimmies of the weenie masses he is relentlessly feeding.

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This is why its best to be careful about what you see on facebook period, or not to get yourself absorbed in anything weather wise on facebook and do (although he could do a little more) like how my dad, and probably many others do, and mainly look at local news or the forecast you can see with a couple clicks on TWC. He turns to me if something "off" happens and I never tell him anything different from reality. I have occasionally shown him GFS "snowfall" maps to point and laugh at, but I don't swear that its true.
 
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