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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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I keep hoping Central AL will see at least a flake this winter, but it's not looking good. At least NC will get something fun this week.
 
That call from WNCN a few days ago where they confidently said there would be school for students in the Raleigh area on Friday likely won't be true. WCPSS closed for downed trees and power outages, they will absolutely close with the chance of an inch of snow.
 
I don’t know what to think about this storm. Do I worry about too little precip or pingers or rain? Every screwjob scenario is on the table now. So many ways for this to go wrong.
 
superjames1992 said:
I don’t know what to think about this storm. Do I worry about too little precip or pingers or rain? Every screwjob scenario is on the table now. So many ways for this to go wrong.
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I want the problem to be pingers as we would be under the heaviest precip. Then atleast parts of this forum would be getting heavy snow.
 
JHS said:
You'll be in school on Friday for sure. This is a mountain and I-40 north storm. Hopefully we go straight to spring after this weekend and stay there.
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Hard disagree that its "for sure"
 
superjames1992 said:
I don’t know what to think about this storm. Do I worry about too little precip or pingers or rain? Every screwjob scenario is on the table now. So many ways for this to go wrong.
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This could be a perfect or near perfect setup, and many folks would still be looking for ways this could go wrong. I'm not directing this at you, superjames.

But I can imagine some of the posts tomorrow and early Friday. It may make for good comedy.
 
JHS said:
You'll be in school on Friday for sure. This is a mountain and I-40 north storm. Hopefully we go straight to spring after this weekend and stay there.
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I say Greenville and Spartanburg counties will be on a delay at the minimum..cold filtering in behind the most minor of accumulations will lock this in
 
marino13882 said:
I hope there isn't a situation where the storm comes to the Raleigh area earlier than anticipated and causes issues with traffic. Wondering if I should convince my wife to keep our son out of daycare and her from going to work.
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I was just showing some people at work who are new to the area that crazy picture on Glenwood Ave. from the February 2014 storm. ?
 
On a very different note..... I'm probably the only person in the world that eats ghost pepper cheese (form Ashe County Cheese) and chases it down with hot black coffee ?
 
metwannabe said:
I have to conduct a meeting in the morning, ugh.... buuuuuut, it's my meeting and my employees will be the beneficiaries of the fastest meeting ever. Lol
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I have to get a freakin cavity filled tomorrow morning at 8:30am. Well it's a re-filling a 30 yr old cavity.
 
My favorite part of the storm is tomorrow, when I stare at the radar loop for 5 straight minutes and convince myself the rain/snow line is shifting south and heavier precipitation is headed right for me. My own in house (or in head) model has a pretty terrible track record.
 
Sleet City USA said:
Spartanburg Co always seems to make its call based off Gville's decision. So annoying to me
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1 and 2 in Spartanburg may get a delay Friday, but the others will be business as usual. Having to depend on cold air coming in to change rain over to snow almost never works in SC.
 
JHS said:
1 and 2 in Spartanburg may get a delay Friday, but the others will be business as usual. Having to depend on cold air coming in to change rain over to snow almost never works in SC.
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I mean, other than the last time we had a decent snowfall here
 
JHS said:
1 and 2 in Spartanburg may get a delay Friday, but the others will be business as usual. Having to depend on cold air coming in to change rain over to snow almost never works in SC.
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Generally I would I agree, however north of 85 (I know it’s overused) Greenville, Spartanburg, Pickens, Cherokee can throw down some accumulations with late arriving cold. Timing is still paramount
 
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Sleet City USA said:
I mean, other than the last time we had a decent snowfall here
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The Dec 2018 storm worked out for I-85 and north, but the rest of SC rest had mostly rain out of it. If That high was in NY or PA and we had that cold air in place to start, we would be sitting pretty for at least sleet or freezing rain.
 
JHS said:
The Dec 2018 storm worked out for I-85 and north, but the rest of SC rest of SC had mostly rain out of it. If That high was in NY or PA and we had that cold air in place to start, we would be sitting pretty for at least sleet or freezing rain.
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Well i got out of school for 2 1/2 days from that one.
 
Sleet City USA said:
Well i got out of school for 2 1/2 days from that one.
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You we just barely far enough north though. I think the city of Spartanburg itself got between 1-3 from NW to SE out of it. A good bit more of course from Chesnee to Landrum where up to 6+ fell. The snow line got to me for 30 minutes before going back north and leaving us with rain.
 
JHS said:
You we just barely far enough north though. I think the city of Spartanburg itself got between 1-3 from NW to SE out of it. A good bit more of course from Chesnee to Landrum where up to 6+ fell. The snow line got to me for 30 minutes before going back north and leaving us with rain.
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Yeah I picked up 2.3 of mainly sleet. I'd be thrilled for that again lol
 
Meh, I am starting to sense a huge bust potential with this system. (and not that good kind) I don't like what some of the short-range models are showing. I am normally optimistic about storms, especially with it being less than 24 hours out. But there are just so many options on the table. I fear a lot of us may end up highly disappointed. I hope that's not the case though. I cannot believe it's 2020 and we still have this much model inconsistency. It blows my mind! And to boot, not one county is under a watch or advisory of any kind. It's almost laughable.
 
Poimen said:
Less than 24 hours away from the start of a potential winter storm and not a brine truck in sight.
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There are certain protocols that are implemented with winter storm watches. In this case, they have not been issued by the National Weather Service. At the very least, the cold temperatures will potentially cause travel issues on bridges and overpasses with black ice. Since this will occur on Thursday night going into Friday (a workday), I feel like NWS is dropping the ball. They can call for a watch and then go to an Advisory if there's not enough snow to warrant a Warning.
 
packfan98 said:
There are certain protocols that are implemented with winter storm watches. In this case, they have not been issued by the National Weather Service. At the very least, the cold temperatures will potentially cause travel issues on bridges and overpasses with black ice. Since this will occur on Thursday night going into Friday (a workday), I feel like NWS is dropping the ball. They can call for a watch and then go to an Advisory if there's not enough snow to warrant a Warning.
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NCDOT cannot put down brine without an advisory or watch? That seems crazy to me.
 
The regional models look great, the globals not as much. I should just assume whatever models show the least snow will be right, so I should be battering down for T-2". However, I'm a weenie so I can't do that.
 
Sucker zone setting up...I know I know time to handoff to the meso models..But I’ll say it again; Sucker zone ??‍♂️
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ryan1234 said:
Meh, I am starting to sense a huge bust potential with this system. (and not that good kind) I don't like what some of the short-range models are showing. I am normally optimistic about storms, especially with it being less than 24 hours out. But there are just so many options on the table. I fear a lot of us may end up highly disappointed. I hope that's not the case though. I cannot believe it's 2020 and we still have thus much model inconsistency. It blows my mind!
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I've come to the conclusion this is going to be a best case "March" type of event, just a couple weeks early. Wet snow generally will be falling, some accumulation on grassy/elevated surfaces will take place, but mostly just slushy on streets due to surface temps. You hear the gutters draining throughout the event.

Afterwards, reporters on TV will show kids sledding down hills that are mostly brown from all the mud, and these sad little snow men will pop up everywhere. Schools will be on a 2 hour delay on Friday to accommodate for the black ice the next day just to be safe. Then we all move on to Spring where according to Larry we'll probably have another March event in a couple weeks! lol.
 
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