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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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ontherocks said:
So question, when the NAM shows random small snow holes, how accurate is that? Seems like it would be difficult for it to know that snow would be light in like a 10 miles radius but maybe it does...?
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It’s not a precipitation issue. In juiced up storms like this you sometimes have pockets (areas) where warm nosing holds on and doesn’t let go. Doesn’t always work itself out from north to south
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Man I hope this isn’t the start of a bad 00z suite..thank god an inch was the most I was looking at under the best of scenarios..

This should be fun to track til the end regardless. It’s going to be a lot of fun either way ? ?
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It's over outside of VA and maybe northeast NC. I'm just hoping the colder weather in the forecast for the next couple of weeks is wrong. I'm ready for spring because it's obviously easier to get storms here than snow. 80's would be nice now and a March like 2012 would be great.
 
JHS said:
It's over outside of VA and maybe northeast NC. I'm just hoping the colder weather in the forecast for the next couple of weeks is wrong. I'm ready for spring because it's obviously easier to get storms here than snow. 80's would be nice now and a March like 2012 would be great.
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When spring comes you’ll just be telling us there’s no rain in sight.
 
Good grief, keep it positive up in here. There has been to many good runs to give up now. Usually 48 hours or so before the main event models will do a shuffle. I'm following the short ranges all the way through. Plus look at the ENS
 
JHS said:
It's over outside of VA and maybe northeast NC. I'm just hoping the colder weather in the forecast for the next couple of weeks is wrong. I'm ready for spring because it's obviously easier to get storms here than snow. 80's would be nice now and a March like 2012 would be great.
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Some people just like Spring I guess. ;)
 
Lovemesomesnow said:
Yeah, not much use in the Bama people even coming in here. Bamers have all stopped coming in here too. Sad, if anyone knows of a Bama/Tennessee forum, please post it. What few times north Bama was in play, no one bothered to talk about it.
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I am a long time member, no TROLLING from me. One of the reasons it is not much fun in here, if you respond someone smashes you in they face. I did love this place. Not so much anymore.
 
So I live just south of 85 and I’m moving to Florida in a couple of weeks for the next few years for work. This is my last shot at snow for a while. Having said that, I may wish I was north of 85.
 
superjames1992 said:
A nice consolation prize after we endure IP/RN hell in a couple days while central VA gets plastered. We call this storm the tablesetter? ?
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Is this a reference to what Greg Fishel is saying?:

"Here is my concern for snow lovers. See the map below. It is a forecast of the Isobar(lines of equal pressure)pattern over the US and Canada. The cold area of high pressure is over southern Iowa Thursday night. This position almost always dictates that the cold air will have to cross the Appalachian mountains before it gets here. That air comes up over the mountains and sinks coming down the other side. Sinking motion produces warming, and many times in a setup like this, the temperatures stays above freezing until the precipitation departs, and I fear that could happen this time. The ideal position of that high for snow lovers is over the northeastern U.S., because it provides a direct discharge of arctic air down the east slopes of the mountains with no impedance at all."
 
whatitdo said:
Is this a reference to what Greg Fishel is saying?:

"Here is my concern for snow lovers. See the map below. It is a forecast of the Isobar(lines of equal pressure)pattern over the US and Canada. The cold area of high pressure is over southern Iowa Thursday night. This position almost always dictates that the cold air will have to cross the Appalachian mountains before it gets here. That air comes up over the mountains and sinks coming down the other side. Sinking motion produces warming, and many times in a setup like this, the temperatures stays above freezing until the precipitation departs, and I fear that could happen this time. The ideal position of that high for snow lovers is over the northeastern U.S., because it provides a direct discharge of arctic air down the east slopes of the mountains with no impedance at all."
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No, I’m just assuming a worst case scenario that this trends NW and we rain. But I’m just joking. ;)
 
Small hope that us on the border belt of SC see a little something...probably not likely, but it's still fun to imagine until all hope is gone probably tomorrow.
 
I may not live in NC, but I can only imagine the panic from local/NWS mets that gradually start to settle in going into Wed Morning knowing the only reliable global model just caved and did a complete 180 in agreement with other models. I'm disappointed to see the Euro be this stubborn in such a short lead time, that's usually a page from the Goofus's signature playbook. ?
 
This is how I feel after finally getting the euro to cave to the 84 hour NAM ... tonight we can truly start giving our respect to the NAM model even at long range .. FROM THE 84 hour NAM to the NAM right now .. almost zero real major changes it’s always been a significant and widespread winter storm for many . I mean I don’t think it wavered from that idea at all yet truly outstanding1582093260736.gif
 
Euro acted like it was too good for everyone, and now of course it's all like...hey guys, can I join your party?
 
Rain Cold said:
Going to be awesome waiting for the rain to change over to a few snowflakes tomorrow. Wonder when we will finally see the NAM drop back into the 1-2" range? 0z tonight?
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Don’t look at WRALs futurecast model. Shows a washout until late tomorrow and then flip to snow. :(
 
KyloG said:
Don’t look at WRALs futurecast model. Shows a washout until late tomorrow and then flip to snow. :(
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It's just as like a legitimate scenario as all of these big snow maps coming out. How many storms like this are we going to have to endure where we're waiting for cold to filter in during the storm, while the bulk of the precip falls as rain, before we realize that cold needs to be firmly entrenched in the area? This isn't the 80s.
 
Rain Cold said:
It's just as like a legitimate scenario as all of these big snow maps coming out. How many storms like this are we going to have to endure where we're waiting for cold to filter in during the storm, while the bulk of the precip falls as rain, before we realize that cold needs to be firmly entrenched in the area? This isn't the 80s.
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Dec 2018 is the only event in my life where cold over performed. But, yeah,when we play with fire...
 
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