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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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We aren't whiffing at this point unless you mean getting 0 snow/sleet and all rain. Hopefully by some miracle the NAM is over amplified and flattens out but the fact its still going NW gives me 0 confidence that happens
Yeah. Once the NW trend starts and the warm Nose shows up, it very rarely goes away. I wish for once we would just get an all snow snowstorm. How is that not possible anymore?
 
We aren't whiffing at this point unless you mean getting 0 snow/sleet and all rain. Hopefully by some miracle the NAM is over amplified and flattens out but the fact its still going NW gives me 0 confidence that happens
Precisely if we're in the sleet now RDU is going to be mighty sore in about 24 hrs.
 
I knew I should have just skipped the 0z runs and just checked in when I got up.
Yeah the NW trend has just about put me in the jackpot but now I'm nervous too, it may not be done... 42 hrs is an eternity with winter storms
 
Yeah. Once the NW trend starts and the warm Nose shows up, it very rarely goes away. I wish for once we would just get an all snow snowstorm. How is that not possible anymore?
No idea man it's beyond frustrating, the rich get richer.
 
Lets not turn the discussion thread into a warning vs watch vs no watch vs no warning vs advisories debate, like what usually happens. NWS will isuse them or won't, it effects nothing that's going to happen or not, lol.
 
Well brick maybe some of us are tired of getting screwed year over year while the same people get major storm after major storm

I get that. But this guy is just trolling.
 
So the icon runs warm. Do we say the RGEM has the same problem?

ICON runs warm. We will need rates to get frozen. Light QPF won’t get it done ... IMO. It’s either drizzle or mod/heavy snow. RGEM isn’t anything close to NAM but it ticked north.
 
Man I hope this isn’t the start of a bad 00z suite..thank god an inch was the most I was looking at under the best of scenarios..

This should be fun to track til the end regardless. It’s going to be a lot of fun either way ? ?
 
Yeah right now no one should be looking at global models with any stock in them .. their job is done with .. it is now up to the mesoscale models to do what the mesoscale models were MEANT to do which is forecast in the short range ... looks to me those models are sticking to their guns so see no reason to be freaked out by the little ole warm biased poor preforming ICON

I am not sure why some of the local mets here even look at the short range models. All they talk about is the Euro.
 
So question, when the NAM shows random small snow holes, how accurate is that? Seems like it would be difficult for it to know that snow would be light in like a 10 miles radius but maybe it does...?
 
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