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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Robert West said:
Yep, we have done something to them. CAE has seen similar snow droughts, but for whatever reason, this one feels like the worst. I know the 90s were bad also though. Hard to believe we haven't been under a Winter storm watch or warning in over 6 years now.

But I don't want to complain to much, won't do anything. It's just the way that it is down here. Maybe one of these days we will get our own special storm like Feb 2010.
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I want a Feb. 73' redux! Long overdue for another one of those.
 
Nerman said:
I wonder what they are using for that map. I've only seen one mesoscale solution that is close to that. The rest show the upper levels too warm. They are so dang close though. I'm not sure why the 0C 850's come crashing down to TN during the next 24 hours and then spend the next 24 just hanging out there?!? If they were to push down another 100 miles South I think most of Atlanta could be in the game.
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Idk but the SC maps actually show more snow for GA then the Ga maps.


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activate storm mode now blue snow flakes will fall tonight on the screen with big bo bucket of chicken advertising thanks to latest site upgrades
 
So that HRRX uses the middle of my driveway as the wintry/rain line.

perfect.

if that were to happen, i will take video proof. that'd be neat.
 
I get why mets don't want to bust too high and would rather bust low and start out low and increase their actual forecast. But what I don't get is not presenting all the scenarios that the models are showing and just going with one model over all the others. I think they should present all the data to the public and let them see all the possibilities that the models are showing, especially when they are all following in line with a big storm except for one model.
 
Oh great, looks like the line from the HRRRX would match the NAVGEM. Throw out the HRRRX
 
Brick Tamland said:
I get why mets don't want to bust too high and would rather bust low and start out low and increase their actual forecast. But what I don't get is not presenting all the scenarios that the models are showing and just going with one model over all the others. I think they should present all the data to the public and let them see all the possibilities that the models are showing, especially when they are all following in line with a big storm except for one model.
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Actually ABC11 did that, showed the GFS, the Euro and their current expectations... I've seen then show the NAM before too. It's really the best approach 48 hrs out, public knows there is a possibility and leave it at that for now.
 
I can hear the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml
 
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml
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I already have a feeling sleet's gonna kill a few people's totals.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml
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Person C- I'll never trust the NAM again
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml
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Person C (pcbjr) - it's all rain and just flipped to thunder ... o_O
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml
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- Waiting for the warm nose to erode.
- Why are real time soundings strengthening it?
- Okay, I think we wished for too much precipitation, it's bring too much warm air with it
- Am I seriously going to end up with just a dusting of snow?
- I'm sure it will change over, look Columbia is changing over, I see a heavier band about to swing through to kill the warm nose, im much further north.
- Okay, I am finally snow
- (2 min later) it's very light, almost like flurries now, what?
- Okay, seriously, what is going on? Why does CAE have posters showing a bust and more snow?
- (The next day) What a busted forecast, congrats CAE, you always score.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml
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I'm totally fine with sleet. Just dont want 8 hours of 33 degree rain
 
Why is that place still using Windows XP?
 
i wish everybody luck i hope y'all get some good snow from this storm! We will get that I20 special soon enough ? #2021isouryear
 
My guess is that parts of Eastern/southeastern NC are going to end up with 6-10" of snow and its not going to be until 12z on the day of the storm that the Euro fully catches on. Not discrediting the Euro as a model, but it just seems like that kind of year this go around.
 
I wish that 12k NAM snow accumulation map on TT was real. Odds of a miracle run are nearly zero but how awesome would it be if this thing beefs up on the backside.


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