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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

Ollie Williams said:
I was talking to my civics teacher a few years ago about American because he posted on there. He went on a rant and told our class about how much Widerman bugged him, so not everyone may have liked him.
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It was frustrating because he always used logic and would generally be right.
 
Speaking of old Talk Weather. That’s the problem. That Rob Smith who was over in MS. Clearly he moved to Augusta and brought that damned snow shield with him.

The Rob Smith Snow Shield.

He needs to move on back to MS!
 
Dang you guys see that ice storm damage from northwest Oregon? That’s the real deal. I feel sorry for the people it affected but dang it’s gorgeous. I’m a sucker for a real ice storm.
 
Since this is a support group now, I need some help. I am responsible for the school buses for a county in north AL. We have been closed since the storm on Tuesday. Attached are some pics I took late today of some of our roads. The white in the pics is hard frozen ice in the shady areas and north facing slopes. Low tonight is 18.

Question is, based on the forecast for a high in the low 40's tomorrow with rain late, and then a low tomorrow night of 30, do y'all think the rain will help these issues tobe resolved by Friday morning?IMG_0393.JPGIMG_0391.JPGIMG_0390.JPG
 
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JTR said:
Since this is a support group now, I need some help. I am responsible for the school buses for a county in north AL. We have been closed since the storm on Tuesday. Attached are some pics I took late today of some of our roads. The white in the pics is hard frozen ice in the shady areas and north facing slopes. Low tonight is 18.

Question is, based on the forecast for a high in the low 40's tomorrow with rain late, and then a low tomorrow night of 30, do y'all think these issues will be resolved by Friday morning?View attachment 142787
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Shady areas will stay a problem. For a few days.
 
JTR said:
Since this is a support group now, I need some help. I am responsible for the school buses for a county in north AL. We have been closed since the storm on Tuesday. Attached are some pics I took late today of some of our roads. The white in the pics is hard frozen ice in the shady areas and north facing slopes. Low tonight is 18.

Question is, based on the forecast for a high in the low 40's tomorrow with rain late, and then a low tomorrow night of 30, do y'all think the rain will help these issues tobe resolved by Friday morning?View attachment 142787View attachment 142788View attachment 142789
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Yikes. I'd be worried about it not raining enough or depending on how far north you are highs under performing so you are left with a slushy mess
 
SD said:
Yikes. I'd be worried about it not raining enough or depending on how far north you are highs under performing so you are left with a slushy mess
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We are obviously closed tomorrow, I am just hoping I don't have to be out and about at 3 AM on Friday checking roads.
 
JTR said:
We are obviously closed tomorrow, I am just hoping I don't have to be out and about at 3 AM on Friday checking roads.
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I think the rain gets the job done. That’s just my opinion. If it gets in the 40’s like is forecasted it will wash it away pretty quickly. It’s all about forecast verification as @SD said.
 
About the school bus thing. We are not professional forecasters and everything we write here is for entertainment reasons only. Please consult your local weather services and ems managers.
 
Rain Cold said:
Ok, so I was curious as to whether or not many folks in the area should be legitimately frustrated with the lack of winter weather. Is it really as bad as we think it is, or does the fish story grow bigger with each telling? So I went to Raleigh's Past Events page and took a look. These are NC specific, but you can probably mentally extrapolate to other areas of the SE and derive a reasonable picture of an event's impact. I have added my subjective grading for the winter. Also, it may be that RAH didn't list everything, although they do a pretty good job capturing these events. If there is something missing, let me know.

Past Events - NWS Raleigh, NC

www.weather.gov

2022 (D): 1 winter storm on 1/15-16 (eastern sections saw very little)

2021 (F): None listed

2020 (F): None listed

2019 (D):
  • A good winter storm on 12/9/2018 for areas west to east north of Raleigh. Very little for southern areas
  • One minor ice storm listed on 1/13
2018 (B):
  • 1 mountain and mainly foothills event on 12/8-9/2017
  • Several small and a couple of good snow events, the biggest of which occurred on 1/17-18 with very little south of the state
2017 (F): None listed

2016 (D): 1 event on 1/22-23, where the entire state saw snow and sleet. 2" or more was confined to the western half of the state with good totals for the mountains.

2015 (B-): Several small events with two moderate events, the biggest of which was a nice snow for the northern and western part of the state. B- for multiple events

2014 (A): Multiple events, the biggest of which was significant snow and ice on 2/12-13. It was a good winter for NC.

2013 (F): 4 minor events listed

2012 (F): 1 minor event listed on 2/19

2011 (A+): Several events listed with with the infamous Christmas storm of 2010 topping the list

2010 (B+): Quite a few moderate to small events, including one pretty widespread snow event on 2/12-13

2009 (C+): 2 events listed with 1/20 showing the highest totals in central/eastern NC

2008 (NA): It looks like 3 events listed, but they won't pull up.

So, out of the last 15 years, it looks like we've had 5, maybe 6 decent winters in NC. By decent, I mean a good number of events with snowfall NOT confined to just one specific area.

The last one was 2018, unless you lived in the mountains last year. This is all predicated on the fact that RAH has listed everything of note.

My conclusion is that over the last 5 years or so, many in the SE have not had very much to cheer about. There is no list of storms that almost happened but didn't. But my suspicion is that there hasn't been very much to even track over the last few years, which is very disappointing....to me at least.
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Our grow zone was recently upgraded to a slightly hotter category. The warming is occuring.
 
Best Pho place in Durham?
 
So we just gonna pretend like this wasn’t our storm earlier @ 18z? Y’all done gave up?IMG_6196.png
 
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Who misses the DGEX?
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Snow Sucks! said:
About the school bus thing. We are not professional forecasters and everything we write here is for entertainment reasons only. Please consult your local weather services and ems manag
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proud dad said:
I think the rain gets the job done. That’s just my opinion. If it gets in the 40’s like is forecasted it will wash it away pretty quickly. It’s all about forecast verification as @SD said.
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According to the NWS this morning, the high for today has been scaled back to and we are forecasted .1" QPF. I think it's gonna be close as to whether or not the worst areas clear up enough to go tomorrow. Need to get them back in school, but one incident is one too many. Looks like an early morning checking roads tomorrow.
 
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