Misc Winter Weather Support Group

[Flotown]

boy we kicking the can

 

[weatherfide]

Yeah, overnight models didn't look great for the SE. The initial cold is focused in the west and we just get glancing shots (cool downs between rain). Even the CFS at the end of its run (first week of February) had this look:
It appears the MJO us going to win.
View attachment 140018

**CFS is a joke, but it's still disheartening.....

 

[weatherfide]

boy we kicking the can

We just kicked it to 2025.

 

[Southern Track]

-Nao better do it's thang..

 

[Heelyes]

 

[weatherfide]

I should have known this was going to happen when BAM Weather said they were 70% sure of a PV split and favorable cold in the east. Always go opposite whatever they say. Notice the timing. It's all about the money. The more I see, the more I believe HAARP is real and being used.

 

[Stevo24]

You guys are panicking over one run of the GFS which flip flops everyday.

 

[ForsythSnow]

If it's outside 180 hours it's not probable either way. Get it within and it's a higher chance.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

If it's outside 180 hours it's not probable either way. Get it within and it's a higher chance.

I hate all these maps that go beyond a week because they are so often wrong.

 

[ForsythSnow]

I hate all these maps that go beyond a week because they are so often wrong.

Only useful for finding patterns and if it locks into consistency. If it doesn't, it's meaningless. It should keep existing just for that reason but taking it seriously or confirming what someone said when they lack consistency after a cluster of days is pointless when you never should have believed something with low accuracy at that range to begin with.

 

[Metwannabe]

You remember when we used to have to worry about things like warm noses, Gulf convection robbing moisture transport, dry air eating up all the precip, etc.? We thought we had it rough then! ?

Awww, the good 'ol days.

 

[Stevo24]

Looks more like the reflection of the pacific jet picking up, which we actually want in time because down the line that would eventually favor a Aleutian low

How much further down the line can we go? Spring will be here soon

 

[Metwannabe]

How much further down the line can we go? Spring will be here soon

Dude it's Jan. 5th but at least you're keeping it in the appropriate thread.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

How much further down the line can we go? Spring will be here soon

Here in the Deep South we have a little over a month left before winter is usually over. Now the upper south is still in play even into March.

 

[Metwannabe]

Here in the Deep South we have a little over a month left before winter is usually over. Now the upper south is still in play even into March.

A little over a month huh? So, Feb. 10th things gonna be a lot quieter in here I guess.

 

[KyloG]

-Nao better do it's thang..

for those that like enso MJO analogs...

Tabelle MJO - MeteoNetwork

Tabelle MJO

www.meteonetwork.it

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

A little over a month huh? So, Feb. 10th things gonna be a lot quieter in here I guess.

Feb 15 is usually my cutoff date for I-20 and southward unless it’s a crazy year like 1993 and 2009

 

[Southern Track]

for those that like enso MJO analogs...

Tabelle MJO - MeteoNetwork

Tabelle MJO

www.meteonetwork.it

That's interesting thanks.

 

[CaryWx]

I should have known this was going to happen when BAM Weather said they were 70% sure of a PV split and favorable cold in the east. Always go opposite whatever they say. Notice the timing. It's all about the money. The more I see, the more I believe HAARP is real and being used.

Alright I give up. What is HAARP and why should I care?

edit: Nevermind, I found it...and the plethora of conspiracies

 

[SD]

Plenty of room left on the all out train.