Misc Winter Weather Support Group

[SD]

Impressive signal on the GEFS ens regarding no snow. Should be watched closely View attachment 146682

We can only go up from here

 

[CaryWx]

So is any snow looking realistic for the Carolinas next weekend

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That npac ridge is legit though I've been trying to figure it out too. I think it may be related to the mjo but man you can't find a much worse thing for the eastern US to have a mean base state

I’m assuming that’s why the west coast is always consumed by a trough and we get the SER. Sometimes I wish the currents flowed East to west. Upstream always kills us

 

[LickWx]

I’m assuming that’s why the west coast is always consumed by a trough and we get the SER. Sometimes I wish the currents flowed East to west. Upstream always kills us

If the currents flowed east to west we would be a very mild climate with little rain and no snow

 

[SD]

I’m assuming that’s why the west coast is always consumed by a trough and we get the SER. Sometimes I wish the currents flowed East to west. Upstream always kills us

Yessir that ridge there is more often than not going to dump down the WC.

And reversing the flow would be total cheeks for us

 

[Avalanche]

So is any snow looking realistic for the Carolinas next weekend

Dude I about spit my gin and tonic out!!!

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

That actually makes a lot of sense. The wave progression of a ridge out there would put a trough over western US and a ridge over eastern, which is exactly what has dominated. A trough out there would place more of a ridge over the west. Will be interesting to watch that next year.

 

[WolfpackHomer91]

Well I be Damned [mention]Jimmy Hypocracy [/mention] ….. the old Hedge works everytime. I woulda bet my mortgage we lost by 10+ tonight and lost my life, but we win and I go to sleep with False hope of going on a run now. God I love sports


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[Tarheel1]

If the currents flowed east to west we would be a very mild climate with little rain and no snow

Like y’all are now?

 

[Tarheel1]

On my way to find snow like @Brent

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Checkout radar and you can see our snow falling as rain in Florida. Best winter of all time. GOATed

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

On my way to find snow like @BrentView attachment 146691View attachment 146692View attachment 146693

You coming to eat at La Fagata?

 

[Tarheel1]

You coming to eat at La Fagata?

Tequila’s! Come on man! Then the new Waffle House on W Georgia!

 

[Tarheel1]

You coming to eat at La Fagata?

In Florida looking for that snow that was on the models 10 days ago!

 

[Bham 99]

At least there's possibly a reason.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

If all one had to look at was a home thermometer, satellite, and a peek out of the window, a snow shovel check would be in order.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If all one had to look at was a home thermometer, satellite, and a peek out of the window, a snow shovel check would be in order.

Yep. 30 degrees with a thick cloud deck is crazy. Torture

 

[EmersonGA]

Yep. 30 degrees with a thick cloud deck is crazy. Torture

Don’t see it often like this without a storm incoming.

 

[Mitch West]

Waking up craving Spring more than ever. It feels like it’s February 27th. We talked so much on the future with the weather that we were basically living in it. It’s wild it’s still February 18th.

 

[Stevo24]

Waking up craving Spring more than ever. It feels like it’s February 27th. We talked so much on the future with the weather that we were basically living in it. It’s wild it’s still February 18th.

Just a few weeks ago I felt pretty confident we would be seeing a good snowstorm today.

 

[Stevo24]

Does anyone know why the models took so long to pick up on how crappy the PAC was gonna be? Weeklies never showed it for months.

 

[Tarheel1]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!

 

[SD]

If this shortwave had less kicker and more amplitude we would be worried about lack of a high pressure and warm noses this morning

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!View attachment 146696

The race has been rescheduled to 4pm tomorrow.

 

[SD]

Does anyone know why the models took so long to pick up on how crappy the PAC was gonna be? Weeklies never showed it for months.

They handled the mjo wrong the gfs from last Sunday was rolling right into p8/1

Now it's just a mess with really the most legit signal over the MC

 

[Stevo24]

They handled the mjo wrong the gfs from last Sunday was rolling right into p8/1View attachment 146698

Now it's just a mess with really the most legit signal over the MC

View attachment 146699

Have the models ever handled the MJO wrong in our favor? Seems like if the models are wrong it’s always in the way of being wrong about cold and never warm. Why is that.

 

[Tarheel1]

The race has been rescheduled to 4pm tomorrow.

I wonder if that means I could get some tickets??

 

[SD]

Have the models ever handled the MJO wrong in our favor? Seems like if the models are wrong it’s always in the way of being wrong about cold and never warm. Why is that.

Yes but not in the last half decade.

I have a number of theories if you are really interested to hear it bc otherwise it's a tldr post

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!View attachment 146696

That’s what they get for stealing our precip

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If this shortwave had less kicker and more amplitude we would be worried about lack of a high pressure and warm noses this morningView attachment 146697

Somebody would have had a chance. WNC could have got buried. Better problem to have than dry upper 20’s

 

[Stevo24]

Yes but not in the last half decade.

I have a number of theories if you are really interested to hear it bc otherwise it's a tldr post

Yes I’m really interested actually

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Yes but not in the last half decade.

I have a number of theories if you are really interested to hear it bc otherwise it's a tldr post

I'd certainly love to hear it because I'm at a complete loss how it avoids the good phases during winter everytime regardless of Enso or SST's etc. What's going on with the Pac is past the point of ridiculous

 

[NCSNOW]

Yep. 30 degrees with a thick cloud deck is crazy. Torture

Told the Familia on way home from church, there was the second big chance we missed out on seeing a good snow this winter. Other than a fluke curveball, it'll be next winter at the earliest before we have another shot.
For me gonna go ahead and make the garden bigger, adding another raised bed and bout time to start the seedlings inside.

 

[FallsLake]

Gonna be tough to get the race in today!View attachment 146696

I'm heading down there in 9 days. Hoping for some nice weather to hit the Disney parks.

 

[Tarheel1]

You can get Daytona 500 tickets for like 40$ today! Y’all come on down

 

[Tarheel1]

I'm heading down there in 9 days. Hoping for some nice weather to hit the Disney parks.

Here today! Pouring rain, but tomorrow through Saturday looks delightful! Saw some 80s for the week you’re coming , enjoy!

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

There's definitely been a lot more cold days this winter than last winter.

 

[BHS1975]

I'd certainly love to hear it because I'm at a complete loss how it avoids the good phases during winter everytime regardless of Enso or SST's etc. What's going on with the Pac is past the point of ridiculous

Does it have to do with the large area of positive SST anomalies in the NPAC?


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[Tarheel1]

There's definitely been a lot more cold days this winter than last winter.

In AK, yes

 

[Chazwin]

There's definitely been a lot more cold days this winter than last winter.

Yeah this is true. After the cold snap at Christmas last year, it was pretty much a torch fest the rest of the way.