Misc Winter Weather Support Group

[BullCityWx]

I hope I get interest on these last two snowless years.

 

[Snowfan]

Right with you.

Well dang, if we're going with football profile pics representing collapses I'll just have to use my favorite team's logo for 30 years as mine. Yes, January was rough.

 

[Tarheel1]

The jet retraction will be addition by subtraction like I discussed in last months long ranger update. Winter will roar back like the coldest analogs you will see. Check out my sub link for more deets only $92/mo

Common core math failed you

 

[Tarheel1]

Best thing that can happen for spring is the models are too retracted with the jet

I don’t wanna be that guy, but you know the wedgy 40s and drizzle are coming for y’all in April

 

[Tarheel1]

Mike Seidel on TWC has some painted on eyebrows! Looking like Groucho Marks on live coverage! ?????

 

[Tarheel1]

Mike Seidel on TWC has some painted on eyebrows! Looking like Groucho Marks on live coverage! ?????

 

[Carolina Jones]

I heard thunder last night. You know what that means.

It means it thunders more in winter here than it snows now.

 

[olhausen]

Weather models subscription is cancelled. It will run out on 2/28, maybe I should just not renew until my backyard scores again. I will live vicariously through all of you the rest of the winter. I hope someone on here scores!

I always keep my subscription through mid to late march.

 

[superjames1992]

Looks like Central Park is reporting just 3.2” so far with this storm, and it’s basically over. 33-34 temps during a daytime snow will kinda do that. ?

Looks like areas a bit inland fared better.

 

[Shawn]

At least we don't have bone shattering cold. Fairly nice outdoors today.

 

[buckinbronco]

 

[Shawn]

Seeing this makes me feel giddy inside. Nature rules!

 

[severestorm]

Looks like Webbers miracle February has turned to a spring fever.

 

[Carolina Jones]

Looks like Webbers miracle February has turned to a spring fever.

 

[Shawn]

IDK why everyone is so upset. The NE finally getting snow.

 

[1300m]

Fairly amazing the global ensembles completely collapse the pattern like this....3 days ago they all agreed with solid -AO for the next couple of weeks and that has evaporated and is going to flip positive in a few days.

View attachment 146414

I want to hear more about how great ensembles are and how that's the way to go in the long range.

 

[accu35]

Let’s not start with @Webberweather53 February forecast predictions. Webb is one of the most knowledgeable and smartest guy I’ve ever known. Most of the time he’s pretty much nails the pattern down but he’s allow to get one wrong ever now and then. Give the guy a break.

 

[Brent]

Let’s not start with @Webberweather53 February forecast predictions. Webb is one of the most knowledgeable and smartest guy I’ve ever known. Most of the time he’s pretty much nails the pattern down but he’s allow to get one wrong ever now and then. Give the guy break.

I mean it's not like anyone else did any better ? it's not been a good winter for predictions

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I mean it's not like anyone else did any better ? it's not been a good winter for predictions

My Feb prediction totally flopped. Complete opposite of my prediction last February

 

[KyloG]

Nobody was calling for the last week of Feb to be a stout npac ridge….nobody

 

[SD]

Nobody was calling for the last week of Feb to be a stout npac ridge….nobody

View attachment 146418

Bhs did bc GW

 

[Ross]

going to roast webb in our group chat

 

[Brent]

My Feb prediction totally flopped. Complete opposite of my prediction last February

I know someone in upstate NY who had a winter storm warning and not a single flake ?

Good to know it happens there too

 

[Shawn]

It's not like we didn't have chances. Things just never matched up.

 

[severestorm]

yep, I still feel confident in my forecast. The Weenie in some Mets got to them.

My Feb outlook.

KAVL
Temps: -0.50F
Snow: 0

KCLT
Temps:-0.50F
Snow: 0

 

[Brent]

It's not like we didn't have chances. Things just never matched up.

We were so close so many times. Like 1 or 2 degrees and this winter would be so different here

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

Having access to all these computer models has made things less fun IMO. It was more fun back in the old days when there was less technology.

 

[Brent]

Having access to all these computer models has made things less fun IMO. It was more fun back in the old days when there was less technology.

Yes and some of my issue is how the typically good models failed. Like I remember when you could rely on the Euro or the EPS mean

Those days are over clearly. Both our biggest setups this year it was God awful. It's been a very eye opening winter for me

 

[Shawn]

The Northeast literally had a forecast breaking change in modeling hours before.

I'm going to blame this all on HAARP.

 

[Arcc]

My feelings right now.

 

[Ross]

--------

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

 

[severestorm]

hmmm

 

[CaryWx]

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

@Shawn gets absolutely drilled by the 18z GFS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

@Shawn gets absolutely drilled by the 18z GFSView attachment 146435View attachment 146436View attachment 146437

I’m drilling something later in response to this winter. Got a Milwaukee with a paddle bit, a flathead bit ready for CBT later

 

[Shawn]

Guys. If that actually happened, I would have to troll. It would be hilarious.

 

[KyloG]

Makes sense

 

[KyloG]

Big signal on the EPS for the 24th too. Blocking gone…it’s fairly clear we do better without blocking ?‍

 

[1300m]

Makes sense
View attachment 146438