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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

KyloG said:
The omega ridge sliding east is not what we want...that just drags the warm air where we don't want it. Only way this will work is if we get some of the n/s energy injected in and that is moving the wrong way. We trying to make lemonade and we got no lemons.

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That 50/50 will be in Europe by Wednesday. Geez. Whatever. On to Mid February.

Looking forward to a classic, simple western and Alaskan ridge again if we can get it. The blocking and 50/50 dynamic doesn't seem to be working.
 
SnowNiner said:
That 50/50 will be in Europe by Wednesday. Geez. Whatever. On to Mid February.

Looking forward to a classic, simple western and Alaskan ridge again if we can get it. The blocking and 50/50 dynamic doesn't seem to be working.
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If we had mediocre cold with a mediocre high pressure to our north we would have been sitting pretty. I do think someone gets snow...probably areas north/west.
 
SnowNiner said:
That 50/50 will be in Europe by Wednesday. Geez. Whatever. On to Mid February.

Looking forward to a classic, simple western and Alaskan ridge again if we can get it. The blocking and 50/50 dynamic doesn't seem to be working.
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Nothing works
 
When we lose both the NAVGEM and the JMA, you know it's time to hang it up, lol.
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Myfrotho704_ said:
I’m Peter peckered out, there’s been 3 trackable events that have trended to garbage here this winter. The snow drought is getting to unbelievable territory. My optimism is going down exponentially
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Take a break, go do something else for a week, and then come back and you will see your NC snow storm. It's there, you just can't see it yet.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I’m Peter peckered out, there’s been 3 trackable events that have trended to garbage here this winter. The snow drought is getting to unbelievable territory. My optimism is going down exponentially
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I’m with you Fro. It’s starting to hurt. Good chance we’re in the same boat next year. Gambler’s fallacy would be to think we’re somehow extra overdue for a storm when in reality our odds will be just as bad later this month as they were the previous February and the February before that. It just doesn’t want to snow here for some reason.
 
Snow Sucks! said:
Any takers on when this cuts? My money is by tomorrow night's 00z runs.

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I’d rather it cut than go off the Atlantic coast and it still rain because cold air doesn’t exist anymore in the Southeast except when it’s dry.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
I’m Peter peckered out, there’s been 3 trackable events that have trended to garbage here this winter. The snow drought is getting to unbelievable territory. My optimism is going down exponentially
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Major snow melting in the plains and Great Lakes also doesn’t bode well. Places like Minneapolis facing their lowest snow totals in decades.


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packfan98 said:
Any chance we can get a booming NAM run this week? We are getting down to only a few good ensemble members left with that glorious digital snow. I'm going to need this to hang on a few more days!
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I don't think so. This "chance" is going to be gone before it gets within 84 hours.
 
packfan98 said:
Any chance we can get a booming NAM run this week? We are getting down to only a few good ensemble members left with that glorious digital snow. I'm going to need this to hang on a few more days!
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I still think it’s very possible NC and upstate is still in the game, all the models are close just a little wiggle room here and there it’s a big run again.

Somebody gonna get NAM’d later this week…


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February 5th. That's the day I guess it's still at least a glimmer of hope of maybe a flake or two. More importantly it's also the day Feb 20th will be in view on the ensembles, and if it still looks like this I'm at least walking to the cliff and most likely jumping. There is simply still no cold air showing up. Fab Feb is quickly going down the shitter
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