I think that they're thinking about a possible changeover at the butt-end of the precip Wednesday.. Post Frontal flurries
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WeatherWatch
Member
I'm about to start another live Facebook video update
Storm5
Member
Welcome !
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Loving the trends today, and of course hoping it trends to a bit more widespread so more members can get in on the action.
Was the DGEX Model discontinued?
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Yep.... too bad. I really liked seeing those clown maps.
Jeremy Camp
Member
Chris Holcomb is the best!
The 00z GFS as of hr99 has the low forming slower and more cool air moving in but still looks suppressed
SimeonNC
Member
Suppression is our friend this far out
So in this 00z GFS run I see a few things I really like.
1) Bigger precip field - The precipitation field on the NW quadrant is a bit more widespread on this run. That makes two or three(?) consecutive runs of a NW trend.
2) Much colder run - This run is much colder, likely due to number 3
3) The cold air mass moves in faster before the onset of any precipitation. I know Webb was talking about this earlier and I completely agree... The cold air mass moves in faster which allows the cold air to be in place in time for the precipitation.
Good run.
1) Bigger precip field - The precipitation field on the NW quadrant is a bit more widespread on this run. That makes two or three(?) consecutive runs of a NW trend.
2) Much colder run - This run is much colder, likely due to number 3
3) The cold air mass moves in faster before the onset of any precipitation. I know Webb was talking about this earlier and I completely agree... The cold air mass moves in faster which allows the cold air to be in place in time for the precipitation.
Good run.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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I think the 0z GFS may be starting a pants party in the Carolinas! Each run is getting a little better. RC's Great Lakes low is almost non-existent!!
Good lord that run was close to having a coastal bomb
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Cary_Snow95
Member
Is the run super delayed on TT for anyone else?
Yeah, seems to be stuck on hr. 96.
SimeonNC
Member
Five inches just east of Roanoke Rapids.
I had to go back into the past and find the run on the psu well site
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whatalife
Moderator
Just to hype this a little more
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Snowflowxxl
Member
This is getting good!!!!
dsaur
Member
I'd almost give up sleet for a week to get 11.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Look at that back foot clipper action!!Just to hype this a little more
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Just to hype this a little more
What is this nonsense
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Love that big blank spot between parts of TN and North of I20... not could use that precio shield to truly get better expansion cause temps would be perfect for snow in areaJust to hype this a little more
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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whatalife
Moderator
Wonder which doc we’ll be getting tonight? 
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:weenie::weenie::weenie: Here we go guys
If only this were early Jan instead of early Dec !
Snowflowxxl
Member
Hope it can evolve into a jan 2014 type storm with the nw trend
GeorgiaGirl
Member
So it looks like I missed some things as I was getting ready to lie down, eh?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Just to hype this a little more
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Lol GFS 4-5 days out has the core of snow over RDU, yea that usually doesnt end well but we can always hope for a miracle!
whatalife
Moderator
The latest GFS literally cuts my house off with predominantly rain and 2 miles away 2-3 inches +. in Lexington. Hehe. CAE gets the shaft too. Still, I'd like to see the UKMET / Euro get going with the idea for this area at least.
whatalife
Moderator
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
GFS snow depth at the end of the storm, we lose 1-2" to melting from the ground plus this doesnt factor in the ratios & assumes they'll be 10:1, in all likelihood they'll be closer to 8:1 w/ surface temps at or above freezing and a very deep saturated layer aloft, so you can probably knock these totals down again about 25%. A few inches of snow at this time of the year is fine by me
RollTide18
Member
Gonna be pretty bummed if Columbus and Macon see flakes and I don't lol
Reminds me of December 09 when Hattiesburg got 4 inches of snow I think and 100 miles NE got nothing.
Reminds me of December 09 when Hattiesburg got 4 inches of snow I think and 100 miles NE got nothing.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This system has continued to slow down over successive runs, it allows the cold air to become more entrenched to our north & northwest and just might give us a fighting chance...
For you GA folks, 13/20 GEFS members now show some sort of snow event in GA mainland (excluding extreme nga mountains). This variable has been increasing as well as the number of members showing at least 2". (which is 6/20)