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Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

snow pretty much gone entirely at 45, yikes

2" is the max around E AL and W GA, SE of Bham and NW of Atlanta, with the eastern suburbs of Atlanta the cutoff to no snow
 
FFC just issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook covering most of north and central Georgia. Black ice is a special concern:

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
314 AM EST Thu Dec 7 2017

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-102>113-081200-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-Wilkinson-
314 AM EST Thu Dec 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Rain will continue today and tonight across much of the region. Some of the rain could become mixed with or change over to snow late tonight from west central Georgia, across the western and northern metro Atlanta areas and northeastward into the northeast mountains. Accumulations of a half inch or less is possible late tonight, mainly in grassy areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...
Wintry precipitation can be expected Friday through Saturday morning. The rain snow mix will end across north Georgia Friday evening, but move into central Georgia Friday night. Light accumulations are possible as far south as Columbus, Americus and Dublin. Most, if not all of the accumulations will be in grassy areas and on elevated surfaces. Saturday morning, any residual moisture on road surfaces could produce black ice, creating hazardous travel conditions. See the latest Special Weather Statement for additional information.

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=ffc&wwa=hazardous weather outlook
 
Brent said:
snow pretty much gone entirely at 45, yikes

2" is the max around E AL and W GA, SE of Bham and NW of Atlanta, with the eastern suburbs of Atlanta the cutoff to no snow and no snow from
Click to expand...

Yeah, 850s are warmer, actually dips below 0c in Montgomery at hr42 then warms up at hr45...odd. Still a rather wonky run but not as wonky as 0z
 
namconus_asnow_seus_18.png
ill take it
 
accu35 said:
namconus_asnow_seus_18.png
ill take it
Click to expand...

Won't accumulate as much as shown but could be some heavy wet snow with big flakes at times, which is a major win in December, hope this is the start of a better trend for the Montgomery area as well. That warm nose is just messing up everything.
 
RollTide18 said:
Won't accumulate as much as shown but could be some heavy wet snow with big flakes at times, which is a major win in December, hope this is the start of a better trend for the Montgomery area as well. That warm nose is just messing up everything.
Click to expand...
I agree, even with that 7" strip we still can get at least 3 or 4" at best which is great
 
RollTide18 said:
Won't accumulate as much as shown but could be some heavy wet snow with big flakes at times, which is a major win in December, hope this is the start of a better trend for the Montgomery area as well. That warm nose is just messing up everything.
Click to expand...
These storms can put out lot of surprises.
 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
334 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

...ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOWFALL EXPECTED BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING...

.Cold air moving in from the northwest will result in rain mixing
with and changing to snow beginning late Thursday night and early
Friday morning. Temperatures are expected to remain just above
freezing while the snow falls, which will prevent significant
accumulations, but some light accumulations will be possible
primarily on grassy and elevated surfaces.

ALZ019-021-023>041-043-071745-
/O.NEW.KBMX.WW.Y.0001.171208T0900Z-171209T0000Z/
Calhoun-Cleburne-Tuscaloosa-Jefferson-Shelby-St. Clair-Talladega-
Clay-Randolph-Sumter-Greene-Hale-Perry-Bibb-Chilton-Coosa-
Tallapoosa-Chambers-Marengo-Dallas-Autauga-Elmore-
Including the cities of Anniston, Heflin, Tuscaloosa, Birmingham,
Hoover, Columbiana, Pelham, Alabaster, Pell City, Moody,
Talladega, Sylacauga, Ashland, Roanoke, Livingston, Eutaw,
Greensboro, Moundville, Marion, Centreville, Clanton, Rockford,
Alexander City, Dadeville, Valley, Lanett, Lafayette, Demopolis,
Linden, Selma, Prattville, Wetumpka, and Tallassee
334 AM CST Thu Dec 7 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM CST
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total accumulations of a quarter to a half
inch are expected, primarily on grassy and elevated surfaces,
with locally higher accumulations up to 1 inch possible in the
higher elevations of East Alabama.

* WHERE...Portions of central, east central and west central
Alabama.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM CST Friday.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

$$
 
Well, the 6z GFS is the wettest furthest NW out of all of it's previous runs I believe. Good morning all!
sn10_acc.us_ma.png
 
Now all we need is our last minute NW shift and Tusc. to Bham to Gadsden will be the sweet spot. Prepare for glory 20/59 corridor!
 
Ok... so reeeeeally hoping this decides to boom with confidence or bust... do y’all have any idea what it will be like to be in a classroom... with 6th graders... on a Friday.... in December...with fat snowflakes falling... and school didn’t get canceled because the event was so marginal....
Prayers appreciated :p
 
The 6z GEFS beefed up totals too as one would expect at this juncture. It's time to put less emphasis on the ensembles and use operationals and shorter range models.
snod.conus.png
 
I still believe these totals will be about 50 miles NW of where most models have it. Don’t know if it’s the wishcast part of me or just knowing how these typically have worked out in the past
 
packfan98 said:
The 6z GEFS beefed up totals too as one would expect at this juncture. It's time to put less emphasis on the ensembles and use operationals and shorter range models.
snod.conus.png
Click to expand...
Can you post members, im at work
 
packfan98 said:
The 6z GEFS beefed up totals too as one would expect at this juncture. It's time to put less emphasis on the ensembles and use operationals and shorter range models.
snod.conus.png
Click to expand...
That certainly did look better but selfishly I'm hoping for an early Christmas miracle with the 12z runs I need about a 75-mile shift east.

Sent from my SM-G920V using Tapatalk
 
Parker said:
I still believe these totals will be about 50 miles NW of where most models have it. Don’t know if it’s the wishcast part of me or just knowing how these typically have worked out in the past
Click to expand...
You could be right, but the gfs/nam and other short range mods are eyeing further south.
 
Great trends overnight for the Raleigh area as the models actually went a little SE. Even if it doesn't actually accumulate as much as the models showed, it still means a greater chance of seeing snow, and that's a win this early in winter.
 
Looks like that 0Z NAM was just a hiccup as usual. I thought something was weird. Looks like we are getting into the final stretch. Love the looks right now for around here.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Looks like that 0Z NAM was just a hiccup as usual. I thought something was weird. Looks like we are getting into the final stretch. Love the looks right now for around here.
Click to expand...
1-2 inches probably with accumulations 1/2 inch on grassy surfaces?
 
Lmao at SC getting nothing while GA and NC do. Typical. Either way I don't expect veep in Columbia ever, much less in early December.
 
I expect at least a slight dusting in NW SC. Then maybe an inch or 2 up toward Sunset to Travelers Rest.
 
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