Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

[NorthGaWinter4]

12z rgem only goes out to 48 hrs, but looks similar to NAM at surface. There are no 500mb plots on tropical tidbits for it. You can see the one slp off SE coast and then the other slp east of Texas.

Good sign there

 

[accu35]

Gfs looks north

 

[packfan98]

12z is a little more amped and north in Texas. Out to hr 54. Lets see what happens.

 

[ForsythSnow]

The GFS also has more flakes flying late tomorrow into Wednesday

 

[packfan98]

Out to 66. Everything seems to be about 50-70 miles NW. Snow breaking out in the SE.

 

[packfan98]

Snow line just to the south of I-85 at hr 72.

 

[RollTide18]

Looks like the GFS may be trying to come around to the other models

 

[packfan98]

Definitely a positive step with this run.

 

[SnowMan]

Slightly more overrunning and juicier so far.

 

[Webberweather53]

Really not buying the pitiful looking precipitation shield (& its intensity) on the NW side of the low track w/ most of the area in the right entrance region of a powerful jet streak in the mid Atlantic and NE US

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Gfs is gonna leave North ga out again it seems. But closer

 

[accu35]

Good step gfs

 

[malak05]

Really not buying the pitiful looking precipitation shield (& its intensity) on the NW side of the low track w/ most of the area in the right entrance region of a powerful jet streak in the mid Atlantic and NE US
View attachment 1817

You believe the jet streak would open door to more convection and moisture from Gulf to northern portion

 

[Metwannabe]

Really not buying the pitiful looking precipitation shield (& its intensity) on the NW side of the low track w/ most of the area in the right entrance region of a powerful jet streak in the mid Atlantic and NE US
View attachment 1817

Should help generate some incredible precip rates, just what we need

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[Tarheel1]

Too warm , even in NC!

 

[SnowMan]

We need something else to hug!!!

 

[Metwannabe]

Bl issues and precip rates not good enough to overcome it, still step in right direction

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[Webberweather53]

You believe the jet streak would open door to more convection and moisture from Gulf to northern portion

It opens the door for a lot more lift on the NW side of the low esp vs what the GFS is currently advertising and that matters for BL temps and precipitation type because w/ more lift and heavier precipitation, more areas (esp over the west-central piedmont of NC towards the Triad area for ex) are liable to see heavy/wet snow and cooler BL temps

 

[RollTide18]

Bl issues and precip rates not good enough to overcome it, still step in right direction

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Yes, I'd say it's a rather nice sized shift on the GFS

 

[WeatherWatch]

12z CMC is another hit!