If there's any good news to take from the 6z GFS, looking at 500mb maps it was slower than 0z.
I agree. The NAM is the warmest model on the planet and if it's showing snow then there's at least a chance of it.I see the nam was more realistic. Such a hard forecast this will be. However, any snow flakes at all is bonus imho
Keep in mind those maps, include sleet and it wont be 10:1 for many areas.
I would be ecstatic with this as the outcome.DIdnt see this posted but I thought I'd do it. The mean decreased for the 2nd run in a row. Again keep in mind you'll probably have to cut these totals back by at least a third, maybe in half...
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As Webb posted, this is likely an rain or snow or combo thing. Maybe a little sleet, but profiles don't support that. Also, IMHO it's going to be heavily driven upon precip rates as well
AgreedEuro and NAM look good, GFS is getting there. All I want to see is some snow fall with this one. I think I'm in a good spot.
Euro and NAM look good, GFS is getting there. All I want to see is some snow fall with this one. I think I'm in a good spot.
The trend has definitely been good since yesterday. As long as they keep showing snow then there's reason to be positive about this one.As packfan properly pointed out, the GFS ensemble looked much better on the 6z suite vs 0z, one can certainly hope we can carry this forward into the 12z runs
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For what it's worth (& it's not worth much), several GFS members give Columbus & Macon, GA a decent hit. Probably won't verify but we can always hope
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