Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

[Shawn]

The heavier, thicker, more intense, uhm. "moisture", looked like it came in quicker versus 12z and allowed a lot of it to be wasted. The run isn't done yet, but the major precip looks to be pushed through for AL, GA, SC.

 

[Storm5]

The overreactions from NAM runs are always priceless. Especially in winter weather events

 

[packfan98]

Seems like this is slow to load on TT

Nam is always slow. Higher resolution is one reason.

 

[Shawn]

The overreactions from NAM runs are always priceless. Especially in winter weather events

It's all rain through 63. All. freakin'. rain.

 

[Storm5]

Here comes a huge moisture push out of the gulf at 72. But it's the extended nam so....

 

[Shawn]

Anyways, secondary push of moisture happening. Lets see where the end of the NAM takes us in regards to that. Turns the first push over to snow for places like CLT. The next push, southern AL trying.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

The overreactions from NAM runs are always priceless. Especially in winter weather events

It was our only good look lol

 

[ForsythSnow]

The overreactions from NAM runs are always priceless. Especially in winter weather events

LOL I know, its the LR NAM. It's as valuable as dirt right now. Give it 2 days and it will be worth much more. The low is south this run also.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Is it me, or I'm just happy to see a steady stream of Heavy Rain over South Carolina flowing from the Gulf after this dry streak!!

 

[Tarheel1]

It's all rain through 63. All. freakin'. rain.

That's just the appetizer

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Is it me, or I'm just happy to see a steady stream of Heavy Rain over South Carolina flowing from the Gulf after this dry streak!!

It’s just you, it’s winter and we’re all weenies. We want snow

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Snow into central GA at 84. Lot less moisture that run

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Lol of course it stops when it finally starts snowing

 

[Meteorologist1999]

It’s just you, it’s winter and we’re all weenies. We want snow

Me too, but living in Southern South Carolina we are always on the edge, every storm just skips our STATE!!

 

[farleydawg792]

On NAM, low is further south and a tad bit higher MB compared to 12z run.

 

[whatalife]

Let’s give it up for the nam.


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[RollTide18]

Not the worst run in the world for my area but less moisture

 

[Mitch West]

This one really ticks me off located in Lexington, SC. 3 miles away, yay!

Lol everytime. That's some heavy precip though.

 

[Shawn]

Lol everytime. That's some heavy precip though.

That was the first initial deal, its whatever. The second isn't as wet , but will likely turn over to some snow for even us.

 

[malak05]

Good ole NAM so basically 1 good run, 1 bad run, 1 good run, and now another bad run that's what NAM has spit out past 4 runs... not as bad as 6z run but not great for parts of GA

 

[Shawn]

Snow through 84:

 

[Mitch West]

That was the first initial deal, its whatever. The second isn't as wet , but will likely turn over to some snow for even us.

Yep, I think for us in the Midlands we should keep in mind that we are in early December. Just seeing snow flying around is awesome. But it sucks, cause it's so close. We got enough moisture, we need more cold air.

 

[accu35]

Snow through 84:

Lol, 4 inch Pensacola

 

[tractor girl]

So much for Atlanta SN. Awesome for Macon & central GA folks - happy for you!!!

 

[PennyForYoutThoughts]

If we were to get 4 inches in pensacola, the city would be shut down for a month lol. Not gonna happen, it's almost 80 here today.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

So much for Atlanta SN. Awesome for Macon & central GA folks - happy for you!!!

It’s one run. Itll jog north hopefully

 

[accu35]

It’s one run. Itll jog north hopefully

Im not worried, still looked good for MBY and still snowing at hr 84

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Moisture lacking this time, but the same general idea is on the table.

 

[RollTide18]

So much for Atlanta SN. Awesome for Macon & central GA folks - happy for you!!!

It's the LR NAM, don't write off snow yet.

 

[accu35]

Moisture lacking this time, but the same general idea is on the table.

Seems to be plenty of moisture, its just the Low little further south

 

[Mitch West]

Yeh idk how anyone is writing off anything this far out lol

 

[MSnowAtl]

On to the 18zGFS

 

[malak05]

So much for Atlanta SN. Awesome for Macon & central GA folks - happy for you!!!

Looking at the read out for Pivotal Weather and Sounding... that huge area of Green showing isn't rain it's snow....

 

[accu35]

This is old data stuff, ready for oz.

 

[Brick Tamland]

NAM is going to go back and forth a lot this far out. Can't be trusted really until we're 48 hours out. I'd rather have the Euro, GFS, and Canadian on my side right now.

 

[accu35]

NAM is going to go back and forth a lot this far out. Can't be trusted really until we're 48 hours out. I'd rather have the Euro, GFS, and Canadian on my side right now.

Yes i agree.

 

[malak05]

What is going on here????

Tropical Tidbit model output

Pivotal Weather Model Output at 84

 

[accu35]

Looking at the read out for Pivotal Weather and Sounding... that huge area of Green showing isn't rain it's snow....

So if this is true, then most of this event towards the end would be snow?

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Is that 534 countour closed off?

 

[malak05]

I guess it's just extremely weird

Is that 534 countour closed off?

Yes it is per Pivotal... that's extremely weird to see TT and Pivotal showing different outputs like that