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Wintry Winter Mischief For Upper SE 3/12/18

Figures that when I'm not there, NC gets a snow chance lol. I'm crossing my fingers for all of you though :)

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Not really, looking back there are numerous decent to large events that have occurred from this date to April 1

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Yeah I know. I just find it amazing that it is able to snow with such a high sun angle. I know sun angle isnt everything but its darn impressive. I mean just imagine a September sun angle and then imagine it snowing. It truly boggles my mind.
 
Yeah I know. I just find it amazing that it is able to snow with such a high sun angle. I know sun angle isnt everything but its darn impressive. I mean just imagine a September sun angle and then imagine it snowing. It truly boggles my mind.
The biggest contributor to this apparent discrepancy is the fact that oceans comprise approximately 3/4ths of earth's surface and because water has a high heat capacity/large thermal inertia it tends to lag solar input by several weeks or so. For example, while the atmosphere is receiving an amount of radiation equivalent to late September, the oceans may "think" it's really November and vis versa after the peak in radiation near the solstice.
 
The biggest contributor to this apparent discrepancy is the fact that oceans comprise approximately 3/4ths of earth's surface and because water has a high heat capacity/large thermal inertia it tends to lag solar input by several weeks or so. For example, while the atmosphere is receiving an amount of radiation equivalent to late September, the oceans may "think" it's really November and vis versa after the peak in radiation near the solstice.
Same with September and October 'canes.
Great post, Webb!
Best!
Phil
 
DF5AA64D-B09E-4C68-A73C-4AE63A2773E9.png Love the 18z gfs ! Gives a Roxboro special, and basically screws DC with light snow and zilch for NE!
 
I'm fine with that. Having a stronger system would likely bring a lot of cold air around on the back plus precipitation. I just hope the ICON is right, though it's not been the best this winter. With fluctuation and the models not being able to pin down the solution, anything is still possible.
Almost anything ... LOL ... :confused:
 
Y'all are slack this evening, no mention of happy hour Lol
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Yeah I know. I just find it amazing that it is able to snow with such a high sun angle. I know sun angle isnt everything but its darn impressive. I mean just imagine a September sun angle and then imagine it snowing. It truly boggles my mind.
In September there hasn't been cold bottled up north for the last 3-4 months. September is completely different then march.
 
5ABCA832-5EB6-48C5-B01B-55B503C8764B.png It is March , and close to the 25th anniversary of “ the one” here’s the pressures from that storm! Pretty amazing
 
Just saw Jons tweet of the refs for Sunday night. Few decent hits at rdu with a mean of 2. I'd take that

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Just saw Jons tweet of the refs for Sunday night. Few decent hits at rdu with a mean of 2. I'd take that

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In reality accounting for melting, warm ground temps, ratios, etc. this is probably more like almost all members have snow flying in the air near RDU and some of them w/ accumulations approaching 1-2" but in any case I will gladly take it. Suffering through mid-upper 30s and heavy cold rain is no bueno.
 
Just saw Jons tweet of the refs for Sunday night. Few decent hits at rdu with a mean of 2. I'd take that

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Yeah if I lived near the Va border I'd be mildly excited....

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