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Wintry Winter Mischief For Upper SE 3/12/18

The SE Canada vortex was much more extensive on this run and suppressed our s/w and practically into oblivion, our s/w also was weaker which delays barotropic energy generation, but it's also the NAM after 48-60 hours so meh (for now).

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While we cry over the NAM and wait for ICON to save us...18z swiss View attachment 4407
Honestly, this looks about right for this storm in my opinion. I don't believe anyone SE of RDU will see anything more than a few flakes mixed in with the cold rain. Just not enough cold air for this system to work with. Frustrating to finally get a good track with a storm and not have the cold air needed for it. Seen this play out several times here. Hope I'm wrong but this is what I am expecting.
 
I’ll cash out now.
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The 0z UKMET went ballistic and has a bomb off the Delmarva in 72 hours. The discrepancy between NWP models just 2.5-3 days out is nuts
 
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