Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

[griteater]

Sobering...

 

[Tarheel1]

I don’t even know what I’m looking at? Is it about to get cold?

 

[Usmeagle2005]

I don’t even know what I’m looking at? Is it about to get cold?

Sometimes I just look at the reactions to see if it’s good news or not.?

 

[Webberweather53]

Sobering...

Climate just keeps getting warmer and warmer, we’re fighting a losing battle to in the long term

 

[$alt]

Maybe we should take half the Earth's population out to like save the planet from climate change or something.

 

[LukeBarrette]

Maybe we should take half the Earth's population out to like save the planet from climate change or something.

Thanos moment

 

[Heelyes]

Maybe we should take half the Earth's population out to like save the planet from climate change or something.

Whatever it takes to make it snow like the old days

 

[griteater]

Jan 1 - my thoughts on the pattern ahead (10-30 day forecast)

 

[Spurs up]

im feeling pretty optimistic about end of January and beginning of February. I don't know why though! lol

 

[MichaelJ]

While I think we will have some cold air, it looks to me like the storm track will be west of the NC mountains meaning ice if any frozen precip falls into early Feb. After that who knows but I think the NE and plains are going to get hammered for the next 30-45 days

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

While I think we will have some cold air, it looks to me like the storm track will be west of the NC mountains meaning ice if any frozen precip falls into early Feb. After that who knows but I think the NE and plains are going to get hammered for the next 30-45 days

That goes against all past Nino climos. I don't see the northern plains getting hammered for the next 45 days.

 

[NCSNOW]

JB say 65-66 winter is top analog. Also

 

[NCSNOW]

Id cash out now with jan feb 1966 repeat. GSO had over 13 inches multiple events last week jan all feb. Lowest temp was 3 on jan 30 and for Feb lowest temp was 8.

 

[griteater]

Id cash out now with jan feb 1966 repeat. GSO had over 13 inches multiple events last week jan all feb. Lowest temp was 3 on jan 30 and for Feb lowest temp was 8.

Early Jan to Early Feb 1966 was one of the all-time great El Nino / -NAO patterns

 

[tennessee storm]

Id cash out now with jan feb 1966 repeat. GSO had over 13 inches multiple events last week jan all feb. Lowest temp was 3 on jan 30 and for Feb lowest temp was 8.

Got consider unfortunately that far back climate change …. Don’t shoot me lol thing s r little different with the climate these days

 

[weatherfide]

0Z CFS says there is no cold trough in the east at all in January and the cold dump is out west followed by what looks like a strong jet extension and a repeat of the December pattern that ushers all the cold out of North America in to the northern Atlantic.

(picks up towel)

 

[griteater]

0Z CFS says there is no cold trough in the east at all in January and the cold dump is out west followed by what looks like a strong jet extension and a repeat of the December pattern that ushers all the cold out of North America in to the northern Atlantic.

(picks up towel)

Honestly, the strong jet ext part is a concern I've had here lately with Feb when the MJO swings back around. That's a long way off, and hopefully the Webb script will save us, but I'd like to see us cash in here in mid-late Jan when the NAO is neg

 

[BullCityWx]

Honestly, the strong jet ext part is a concern I've had here lately with Feb when the MJO swings back around. That's a long way off, and hopefully the Webb script will save us, but I'd like to see us cash in here in mid-late Jan when the NAO is neg

I think these graphs are still really encouraging. It's not quite as great as 12z yesterday but still pretty darn good.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

The EMCF is taking another swipe at an SSWE mid-month.

 

[Webberweather53]

Tho mid-Jan definitely holds some promise too, we’re putting all of our chips to the center of the table for the first half or so of February. Just about everything is favorable or very favorable for something substantial to appear.