Wulfer
Member
I do a lot of lurking but, I post more in the winter period. I'm like a wolf that comes down from the mountain. Chattanooga is a fun place to watch in the winter!
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Wintry Winter 25-26 Winter Battle Zone
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
NCSNOW
Member
Boy if the CFS could ever be right, Id cash out with the 12/1-12/2 Southernwx forum special it advertised at 0Z. Then the artic dump coming down the plains week before Christmas.
I take it as a good sign that we are even getting some fantasy storms right now for December. Means things are going the right direction.
Tsappfrog20
Member
Looks like the site is back up and running!!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It’s happening! 
i'd be lying if i said i wasn't at least a little intrigued by the cold showing up beyond this late next week push. its out there, but man its loading up and ready to drop somewhere out of canada
MJO model progs:
-11/18 GEFS/EPS runs similar to yesterday day by day along with good progression into 7(GEFS) and well into 7 (EPS).
-11/17 extended EPS remains consistent with recent runs with it getting into 8 on 12/14. But the big news is that the extended GEFS is its most progressive yet and with it actually moving into 8 a day earlier than the EPS (12/13).
At RDU/BWI since 1974 for the 23 three+ day long Dec phase 8 periods averaged out: lots of variation but with solid tendencies
-78%/61% of Dec phase 8 were cold
-Compare that to only 22%/13% that were mild
-Phase 8’s three+ day long periods have averaged 5 days with the longest being 13 days
-Phases 1 and 2 have also averaged cold at BWI but with again lots of variation but with solid tendencies
-11/18 GEFS/EPS runs similar to yesterday day by day along with good progression into 7(GEFS) and well into 7 (EPS).
-11/17 extended EPS remains consistent with recent runs with it getting into 8 on 12/14. But the big news is that the extended GEFS is its most progressive yet and with it actually moving into 8 a day earlier than the EPS (12/13).
At RDU/BWI since 1974 for the 23 three+ day long Dec phase 8 periods averaged out: lots of variation but with solid tendencies
-78%/61% of Dec phase 8 were cold
-Compare that to only 22%/13% that were mild
-Phase 8’s three+ day long periods have averaged 5 days with the longest being 13 days
-Phases 1 and 2 have also averaged cold at BWI but with again lots of variation but with solid tendencies