Misc Winter 22-23 Whamby and Banter Thread Part 2

[Myfrotho704_]

@LukeBarrette whats up with your crib man later next week

 

[WXinCanton]

Highlands looks pretty decent, might look into a weekend trip if it holds

 

[LukeBarrette]

@LukeBarrette whats up with your crib man later next week

I’m not home dawg, I’ll be in Kentucky ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

dang get 20-30 mins of daylight the next 2-3 weeks

 

[Stevo24]

A bit closer look for folks

Just to reinforce my earlier point about this still looking like a mountains & foothills-centric snow event.

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View attachment 129455

View attachment 129456

We get it.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Just to reinforce my earlier point about this still looking like a mountains & foothills-centric snow event.

View attachment 129454


View attachment 129455

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[Tarheel1]

Y’all put your exploded pants back on! Webber said this ain’t the one, and torch city! It’s over! ?

 

[Tarheel1]

Fro out getting snow tires for the Supra, he’ll be all in when he gets back! ?️

 

[NoSnowATL]

Going to be lit.

 

[ajr]

How many more runs before folks figure out plans to head to the mountains next weekend? I'm so desperate for snow I'm probably 24 hours away from booking something ?

 

[NoSnowATL]

How many more runs before folks figure out plans to head to the mountains next weekend? I'm so desperate for snow I'm probably 24 hours away from booking something ?

I’d wait until it’s under 72hrs.

 

[NoSnowATL]

I’d wait until it’s under 72hrs.

Maybe 24hrs

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Good, glad we getting fringed....I don't even like snow. Get to save on shovel money. ?‍
View attachment 129443

Don’t be too mad. I only get 14 inches

 

[KyloG]

If it can snow in Columbia SC in Oct due to a nice closed upper low then it can freakin snow in mid January with something similar, even with marginal cold.

 

[Ross]

low confidence or just standard thinking right now because of the range?

of all the flavors of fantasy snowstorm i think that "marginal temp ULL qpf bomb" is the stinkiest and most pungent and i think people get carried away with dynamic cooling copium because some of some forecast bust in their town from like 2003. on the flip side it is cute to track and the essence has some pretty nice ensemble support for being so far out and i'm a little more bullish on cold air than webb.

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

of all the flavors of fantasy snowstorm i think that "marginal temp ULL qpf bomb" is the stinkiest and most pungent and i think people get carried away with dynamic cooling copium because some of some forecast bust in their town from like 2003. on the flip side it is cute to track and the essence has some pretty nice ensemble support for being so far out and i'm a little more bullish on cold air than webb.

Yeah, but the inner child in me can not unsee a slow-moving ULL doing a tour of Georgia in January. I have visions of thundersnow dancing in my head, and Christmas is over.

 

[AJ1013]

Crap... 12z GFS 2m temp anomalies at day 12:
View attachment 129425
I guess we all save on the heat bills and California gets out of their drought. Gas and produce prices may go down.

Cool in FL ?

 

[weatherfide]

Marginal temp snow storms are the best to chase. If the mountains look to score next weekend, it might be a good chase scenario. The roads will just be wet and it's a weekend!

 

[SnowNiner]

Ukmet and Euro on our side......you know what that means......another new way to fail. Lol.

Be nice if this showed up 4 days out though. Just have no faith in this working as progged so far out. Always enjoy fantasy runs though.

 

[KyloG]

Just saw a big flock of birds heading north…they must have seen the day 10-15 pattern on the EPS. ?‍

 

[Snowlove33]

I think I’m ready to get this winter over with especially after the big cold tease we got back around the Christmas break with no moisture to show for it then once temps warm back up moisture decides to wanna show back up and join the party then to top that off we get severe weather to come spread the love smh… I’m sorry you guys I just wish I have a chance to see snow In my back yard this winter and I guess my emotions is getting the best of me

 

[Tarheel1]

GFS is ?

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

This looks more like a wet rain vs dry rain for some. Let me explain. The track and transfer seen in some of the guidance can throw a ? in the evolution of this system. The moisture field could skip some areas and screech to a halt in some of the colder spots such as West Jefferson. It’s too early to know the exact track and eastward transfer details but a lot and I mean a lot more can go wrong than right in these unfavorable patterns. The European model is nice to look at but I'm holding some reserve until next Wednesday.

Birdman!?

 

[Rain Cold]

Birdman!?

100%

 

[Tarheel1]

Wilkesboro = DobsonWx

 

[Rain Cold]

Funny how everyone sees right through it. Posting styles never lie. Wicksboro DupontDan etc can't hide on here

 

[Ollie Williams]

Funny how everyone sees right through it. Posting styles never lie. Wicksboro DupontDan etc can't hide on here

Do you see IP addresses, or is that only @SD?

 

[packfan98]

Do you see IP addresses, or is that only @SD?

Yes, we can see them.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Do you see IP addresses, or is that only @SD?

Yes because I made an account 6 years ago and pissed Storm5 off in the main thread within a week of creating an account and got banned. It was him or Shawn. So Jimmy was born and immediately he was like “yeah I know you created another account I can see your IP.”

I was ??????

 

[SD]

Do you see IP addresses, or is that only @SD?

It's funny to me how people think they are pulling a fast one on us. I mean geez

 

[KyloG]

How in the heck do we get out of this…we’ve had a lot of bad patterns over the years but this is just terrible. ?‍

I’m trying to squint and imagine something better morphing out of this and it ain’t working

 

[SD]

How in the heck do we get out of this…we’ve had a lot of bad patterns over the years but this is just terrible. ?‍

I’m trying to squint and imagine something better morphing out of this and it ain’t working

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Easy dig deeper in the okhotsk region

 

[Deleted member 609]

These sits are different

@Jimmy Hypocracy don't look at #20

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

How in the heck do we get out of this…we’ve had a lot of bad patterns over the years but this is just terrible. ?‍

I’m trying to squint and imagine something better morphing out of this and it ain’t working

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You could do this

 

[Rain Cold]

Do you see IP addresses, or is that only @SD?

Probably just admin

 

[bouncycorn]

MMFS-r upgrade from v3.0 to v4.0 seems to have gone smoothly.. just fired up a 18z 192hr run.. should have outputs in a few hours!

 

[KyloG]

You could do this View attachment 129482

It’s got a lot work to do back half of January…but hoping for some miracle strat event doesn’t give much hope.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

@Jimmy Hypocracy don't look at #20

I only get 30 inches? Toss salad

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

How in the heck do we get out of this…we’ve had a lot of bad patterns over the years but this is just terrible. ?‍

I’m trying to squint and imagine something better morphing out of this and it ain’t working

View attachment 129481View attachment 129480

Hope for the best next week and forget about it, call it a winter and enjoy the warmth!

 

[Tarheel1]

It's funny to me how people think they are pulling a fast one on us. I mean geez

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