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Misc Winter 22-23 Whamby and Banter Thread Part 2

Wild Weather Monger said:
So for several days now at least, the Pacific jet is forecasted to retract substantially in the very long range. If verified, perhaps this is the beginning of a pattern change for the last third of January/early February?

And, do any of our resident long-range gurus have any updates regarding the hoped-for stratospheric warming event progress?

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From what I've heard we have a better chance of seeing unicorns riding flying pigs but what do I know
 
Rooting for the ski resorts big here. Need a Hail Mary for those guys. I’ve conceded mby but my car cranks and I still know how to shred a Diamond. ?
 
Anyone have a side discharge AC/heat pump installed? Getting quotes to replace my downstairs and this is what they recommended. It's a multi-stage, whatever that is, and "better". Expensive too.

 
SD said:
I remember Forsythia blooming when I was at home for Christmas break during HS and college not sure this warmth is a new thing
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You have a home and went to school? I always thought you just existed so long as this forum did. You are the forum Shane!
 
weatherfide said:
You got to go where the snow falls. It ain't gonna be in Georgia, my friend. Sophia, NC looks good. I wonder if they have any Air BnB's there?
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I don't understand these type of comments. We had snow in a worse setup before. Just look at February 2020 for example. Teleconnections sucked and we got several inches of snow. Ideally I would prefer it colder so it would stick around longer but we can't be too picky at this point.
 
People going all-in on one set of model runs thinking that's where the snow (if the system verifies) will be exactly... Happens every year. If you're within 1000 miles of the low as it is right now it's possible. The wave either flattens out, slows down, speeds up, tilts too fast and cuts in the end, any of those. For mid Jan assuming winter is just over is not even rational.
 
GaStorm said:
I don't understand these type of comments. We had snow in a worse setup before. Just look at February 2020 for example. Teleconnections sucked and we got several inches of snow. Ideally I would prefer it colder so it would stick around longer but we can't be too picky at this point.
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Yes, I chased that one. It was rain in Atlanta, mixed to rain, sleet and snow in Doraville, then all snow in Roswell and Alpharetta. The key is when the pattern sucks, be prepared to go mobile to get your snow fix. That was the last accumulating snow that I've seen, too.
 
weatherfide said:
Yes, I chased that one. It was rain in Atlanta, mixed to rain, sleet and snow in Doraville, then all snow in Roswell and Alpharetta. The key is when the pattern sucks, be prepared to go mobile to get your snow fix. That was the last accumulating snow that I've seen, too.
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It's been kind of crazy to see years without much and then years where we score. Every 3 years for example 2011, 2014, 2017, 2020 so will 2023 be next? Guess we will see.
 
ForsythSnow said:
People going all-in on one set of model runs thinking that's where the snow (if the system verifies) will be exactly... Happens every year. If you're within 1000 miles of the low as it is right now it's possible. The wave either flattens out, slows down, speeds up, tilts too fast and cuts in the end, any of those. For mid Jan assuming winter is just over is not even rational.
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I'm assuming winter weather (frozen or freezing) chances have dropped to near zero for my area and it's completely rational to assume no winter weather here. Forsyth County and north GA have a little better chance. Winter/Autumn cool-ish temps are not over. A freeze is still possible until April 15. I'll be ready to plant my summer veggies at that point.

Do I still hope it snows at my house? Yep! That's the irrational part!
 
GaStorm said:
It's been kind of crazy to see years without much and then years where we score. Every 3 years for example 2011, 2014, 2017, 2020 so will 2023 be next? Guess we will see.
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We've gone 10 years without measurable snow in Atlanta before (1996 to 2005). I consider the 2010's and 2020's to be very good snow years for Atlanta. It's just not realistic to expect snow every year. We can expect to SEE snow fall every year, though. Most years we record at least a trace. That 10 year period was very unusual. We have a decent chance to catch sight of some flurries before 2023 ends.
 
weatherfide said:
2014 was the best snow in decades on the south side. Probably since 1992.
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That's a tough place to get snow. Just like the Carolina's Atlanta doesn't do well with clippers or anafrontal. And most of the time the CAD that saves the Carolina's a lot doesn't reach Atlanta. Atlanta to Augusta to CAE is brutally painful for snowlovers.
 
weatherfide said:
We've gone 10 years without measurable snow in Atlanta before (1996 to 2005). I consider the 2010's and 2020's to be very good snow years for Atlanta. It's just not realistic to expect snow every year. We can expect to SEE snow fall every year, though. Most years we record at least a trace. That 10 year period was very unusual. We have a decent chance to catch sight of some flurries before 2023 ends.
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I know for a fact Atlanta had some snow in January 2002.
 
Snowlover87 said:
I know we are only a couple weeks past the winter solstice, but it seems like the sun angle is higher than it usually is this time of year.
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Today is the day the earth is closest to the sun, the whole year, ironically!
 
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