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Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion

Very interesting look on the Euro. At 168hrs both Euro and FV3 have a very similar look. However the Euro then dampens the ridge out west and allows a powerful SW to break off the Aleutian low into the west coast. The FV3 does not, and while the model shows nothing, 500mb screams a big time threat.

Should be very interesting to see the result and what may be our first significant threat time frame.
 
I was wondering if it would be better to post on the November thread now instead of this one since everyone seems to be talking about specific model runs and threats now instead of overall thoughts on winter. It seems the pre-game show is over, and it's game time now!
 
‍just a little ...... is feel a lot better if they were switched around. Day 7/8 isn’t that far off . I hardly ever bet against the EPS


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I'll bet against the EPS every time. Yes I'm still ill.

That being said it, the 18z GFS has a 561dm ridge north of the Hudson. Crazy.
 
Complete chaos. Gotta get rid of that gigantic low in the Pacific.
gfs_z500a_namer_38.png
 
I’m not so sure many people score the first week of December. Perhaps mid December be better.
 
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