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Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion

Let’s see who wins. Check back on this in about 5 days. Looks like EPS has several members that don’t quite move the Scandanavian ridge to Greenland.

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The ends of both runs of the GFS Fake Version 3 are much better looking than the regular GFS.

Well, GFS 2: Electric Boogaloo did pretty well with the hurricanes we had. Hopefully, it is just as good with winter storms. It really looks like things will start rocking when we get to December.
 
Well, GFS 2: Electric Boogaloo did pretty well with the hurricanes we had. Hopefully, it is just as good with winter storms. It really looks like things will start rocking when we get to December.
Yeah, the pattern looks to be developing better than was generally expected for December. However, the two week out model progs are still going to be fraught with error. At least we're not punting December, like usual.
 
I wonder if he is talking about the NE or SE, or both.
Probably the area from NC/TN/VA and north. Climo would favor that over anything. Plus, the lower heights in the SW still bother me. I'd also like to see those blue areas slightly farther south.
 
Yeah, the pattern looks to be developing better than was generally expected for December. However, the two week out model progs are still going to be fraught with error. At least we're not punting December, like usual.

Took the words right out of my mouth (or off my keyboard as the case may be)
 
Assuming some of these ensemble predictions verify, early to mid-December could have a few potential threats to watch. As usual it will all come down to the details, timing of key pieces of energy, etc. One thing for sure, there will be plenty of cold rain falling this winter!
 
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Let’s see who wins. Check back on this in about 5 days. Looks like EPS has several members that don’t quite move the Scandanavian ridge to Greenland.

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I would gladly take either one although I think we get more North Pacific blocking in the extended like the GFS shows. Even if we don’t I still like this pattern
 
Please take with a grain of salt and I’m assuming this pattern we are coming up to can produce this ...
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I pray we aren’t looking at this type of high pressure placement all winter..it will be a long depressing winter for MBY if that’s the case. It looks good on paper I guess but we need some cold air EAST!
 
I pray we aren’t looking at this type of high pressure placement all winter..it will be a long depressing winter for MBY if that’s the case. It looks good on paper I guess but we need some cold air EAST!
We can still get a few good wedgies!
 
I pray we aren’t looking at this type of high pressure placement all winter..it will be a long depressing winter for MBY if that’s the case. It looks good on paper I guess but we need some cold air EAST!
That setup is horrible for RDU and SC in general, but absolutely great for GA and AL. With that setup, we here would benefit from it like we did in the Dec storm last year from a deformation band.
 
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