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Tropical TS Fred

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fred Intermediate Advisory Number 28A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
100 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021

Corrected latitude in summary block.

...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND FLOODING RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND REGION AS FRED APPROACHES THE
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 85.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
Fred now at 65 mph.
 
thats a solid area avg sounding over the SW piedmont of NC/upstate of SC, quite large low level hodographs with solid streamwise vort signals storms are gonna have easy access to the 200-250 of 1km helicty, prob wont be lots of taller convection but instead low topped stuff munching on the low level instability 1629136337672.png
 
I'm sure it will resume northward movement once inland, maybe, but interesting it looks to make LF east of any model projection. HRRR might have been the closest?
It looks fairly close to what the HRRR was showing yesterday afternoon. In fact it looks as though it’s pretty much following the eastern edge of the cone from yesterday’s 5pm forecast track
 
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