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Tropical TS Fred

metwannabe said:
Fred gave it a go but seems unlikely it will make hurricane strength before LF (dry air intrusion probably capped it), still a formidable TS considering it was just an open wave basically a couple days ago
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They will upgrade it in a couple of months


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Yikes per radar a “PRE” has already setup north west of Charlotte with training of tropical flooding. Hickory area but likely going to expand this evening. 5AEADC80-C6B2-4294-BFFA-4B5277DA5296.jpeg
 
deltadog03 said:
I would say here comes Fred's final push...new convention over the COC and looks to be moving like NNNNNNE...lol
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Yeah pressure up 1 to 994mb and seems to have leveled off, also looks like the center is on the SE side of that deep convective burst, so shear seems to have prevented it from stacking and probably prevents it from cane status. But still a few hours over water so never know
 
Rip he won’t make it to Hurricane … he tried his damn best .. still a sexy looking tropical storm .. but alas just a tropical storm … the real beaut to look at might be grace soon
 
metwannabe said:
There was that one NW jump but per recon back to N/NE, however S/SE Al will surely see some rain and center could clip Dothan I suppose

View attachment 88421
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The west of north component will continue until it closes in on the stalled boundary, or it becomes better organized on its eastern side. The convective tug isnt over.
 
metwannabe said:
Fred gave it a go but seems unlikely it will make hurricane strength before LF (dry air intrusion probably capped it), still a formidable TS considering it was just an open wave basically a couple days ago
Click to expand...

As far as effects on the SE US, it likely wouldn’t have made much difference, regardless, other than the immediate area and just to the right at landfall. Just as was the case with Elsa, this is a very wet and formidable TS as you said. The amount of cumulative rainfall and overall effects from tropical systems on the SE through mid August is way above average.

My area had plentiful rainfall this morning, likely over 1”, from outer moisture feed off the ocean. The wet summer continues here.
 
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