Tropical TS Fred

[BufordWX]

Already coming up on a half inch of rain and looks like more bands will try to rotate in over the next few hours. Will be interesting to see how much rain we manage to get before the core of the storm arrives in the morning and the rain totals really go up.

 

[JHS]

Might be just a graphic issue .. would consider it central NC but scrapping the mountains looks more likely View attachment 88448View attachment 88449View attachment 88450

Looks very nasty for my area if it is right. A ton of rain in that line and the decent possibility of tornadoes in that.

 

[Zander98al]

Two areas of interest in the near future with mini topped supercell convection.

 

[BufordWX]

Two areas of interest in the near future with mini topped supercell convection. View attachment 88456

Wouldn’t be shocked if we see a few tornado warnings soon. Definitely been a uptick in the past hour.

 

[Zander98al]

Wouldn’t be shocked if we see a few tornado warnings soon. Definitely been a uptick in the past hour.View attachment 88458

It's got a mini hook

 

[Zander98al]

The meso is clearly wrapping. Needs a tornado warning soon

 

[Zander98al]

I'm surprised at how persistent and we'll defined this mesocyclone is.

 

[Avalanche]

Is the track still N. Georgia through east TN?

 

[iGRXY]

Been pouring for most of the day so the small dry spell is gone now. Definitely worried as it looks like several rounds of severe weather will be moving through here from around 1pm-7pm tomorrow.

 

[bigstick10]

NOAA top analog for Frank. View attachment 88452

NO

 

[Tornadocane]

I'm worried about Western NC and everyone in the Appalachians between NE Alabama and NW Georgia to West Virginia. Big time rains coming for those areas.

 

[MSnowAtl]

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I'm worried about Western NC and everyone in the Appalachians between NE Alabama and NW Georgia to West Virginia. Big time rains coming for those areas.

Naw NE GA you meant? NW GA will be miss the buck of it I believe.

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Confirmed mudslide in Statesville.

 

[NCSNOW]

Confirmed mudslide in Statesville.

? What happened a fire ant mound collapse

 

[BirdManDoomW]

? What happened a fire ant mound collapse

The ground is highly unstable because of the i40/i77 construction project. Recent dynamite usage and light rain is bad.

 

[BufordWX]

The main body of Fred is starting to creep closer with the outer edge of it already getting up to Columbus. Probably gonna start working it’s way into south part of Atlanta in about 2-4 hours if I were to guess.

 

[Shaggy]

Any confirmed winds sustained over 60mph?

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Those Hodographs are impressive, enough thermos to make low topped stuff work, wonder if spc decides 10% tor

 

[BirdManDoomW]

@Myfrotho704_ can you share those tornado forecast maps that were surprisingly spot on for the recent New Jersey tornado and other areas of the country this year? I feel like they won’t do so well with tropical storms (I believe experimental NOAA maps)