Tropical TS Fred

[deltadog03]

Should know shortly, but looks like they just punched the center and it looks pretty much on a due north line.

 

[Snow_chaser]

Just what my yard doesn’t need lol

 

[BufordWX]

HRRR looking pretty interesting for north Georgia. Keeps the remnant core very well defined.

 

[J.C.]

HRRR looking pretty interesting for north Georgia. Keeps the remnant core very well defined.View attachment 88365

Time and time again during late August and September we see this same track like clockwork.

 

[Snow_chaser]

HRRR looking pretty interesting for north Georgia. Keeps the remnant core very well defined.View attachment 88365

I smell a potential digital learning day for some school districts

 

[Jessy89]

I smell a potential digital learning day for some school districts

My kids school is closed this week for COVID. Don’t have to worry about my wife and kids getting out in it. I’ll be working outside in it though


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[ForsythSnow]

The recon center shifted SW it appears on the 2nd fix, strange.

 

[Metwannabe]

The recon center shifted SW it appears on the 2nd fix, strange.

I just noticed that and coming here to say same thing, interesting and weird

 

[deltadog03]

No doubt. If you look at the IR (night mode) it's like it spit out a vorticity center around a bigger LLC? Because what spit out SW looks like is spun out. If that makes sense. Lol

 

[Storm5]

No doubt. If you look at the IR (night mode) it's like it spit out a vorticity center around a bigger LLC? Because what spit out SW looks like is spun out. If that makes sense. Lol

None at all .....


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[deltadog03]

So the red circle is what recon found, and the other circle looks like something is there..maybe a competing centers? Idk. I guess we wait and see. Lol

 

[Brent]

The NHC should probably consider a hurricane watch

 

[Metwannabe]

No doubt. If you look at the IR (night mode) it's like it spit out a vorticity center around a bigger LLC? Because what spit out SW looks like is spun out. If that makes sense. Lol

Spot on, if you zoom in on the loop you clearly see the llc move w/sw, really bizarre haha. Who knows

 

[Tarheel1]

Eric Webb believes this could be a hurricane at landfall in the Panhandle

He can only forecast heat and Haboobs now! ?

 

[Metwannabe]

HRRR kinda shows that west jump, also fwiw NAM consistent on LF around Destin or a touch west

 

[DadOfJax]

Very weak steering currents and continued lopsided convection to the east is certainly going to push the center further westward, as it appears we are already seeing.

 

[SD]

HRRR kinda shows that west jump, also fwiw NAM consistent on LF around Destin or a touch west

3k drops about 40mb until landfall seems legit

 

[Chazwin]

Very weak steering currents and continued lopsided convection to the east is certainly going to push the center further westward, as it appears we are already seeing.

The steering currents are not weak. The storm is moving at 10mph

 

[iGRXY]

Very weak steering currents and continued lopsided convection to the east is certainly going to push the center further westward, as it appears we are already seeing.

It’s not though lol.

 

[Snowfan]

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fred Advisory Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
1000 PM CDT Sun Aug 15 2021

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS FRED A LITTLE STRONGER...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE EXPECTED ALONG THE
COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND BEGINNING MONDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 85.9W
ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

Fred a little stronger.
Graphic: