lexxnchloe
Member
Nice break from the heat.
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Tropical TS Chantal 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Downeastnc
Member
Some pretty typical tropical showers as the outer bands rotate through...short lasting extremely heavy and efficient rain showers then back to bright sun.... wash rinse repeat probably ease up some after sunset and loss of heating.
Drive the Tourists away,, YES!
Shaggy
Member
Southport would be a good view of these blobs rotating in
Rapid Refresh sends the center up the I-77 corridor with several inches of rain along the path.
snowc
Member
71/73 here
rusrius
Member
I was really hoping to break my 24 day rainless streak. Sigh.
Shaggy
Member
@Avalanche this big blob off the coast looks good for a cape fear visit!
Avalanche
Member
I might have to go check it out at the Brunswick River Park. The pier has good oversight.
Carolina Fever
Member
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
825 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
NCZ040-041-076-077-060130-
Lee NC-Chatham NC-Harnett NC-Wake NC-
825 PM EDT Sat Jul 5 2025
...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL HARNETT...LEE...
SOUTHWESTERN WAKE AND CENTRAL CHATHAM COUNTIES THROUGH 930 PM EDT...
At 824 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a gusty shower near Fuquay-
Varina, or 11 miles southwest of Cary, moving west at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Sanford, Pittsboro, Fuquay-Varina, Goldston, Apex, Holly Springs,
Crosswinds Boating Center, New Hill, Gum Springs, and Jordan Lake
State Rec Area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Really good thing this is sheared and running out of time
Last edited:
Downeastnc
Member
Yeah if it had been able to get stacked up at all it would been off to the races....
Shaggy
Member
Yeah only early July. Would have been a different story in August or September
lexxnchloe
Member
Diana 1984
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL032025
A. 06/01:05:50Z
B. 32.45 deg N 078.72 deg W
C. 850 mb 1482 m
D. 1005 mb
E. 015 deg 12 kt
F. NA
G. NA
H. 26 kt
I. 212 deg 44 nm 00:51:30Z
J. 317 deg 20 kt
K. 212 deg 54 nm 00:48:30Z
L. 51 kt
M. 051 deg 40 nm 01:18:00Z
N. 147 deg 55 kt
O. 051 deg 42 nm 01:18:30Z
P. 17 C / 1519 m
Q. 20 C / 1522 m
R. 16 C / NA
S. 12345 / 8
T. 0.02 / 15 nm
U. AF303 0303A CHANTAL OB 03
MAX FL WIND 55 KT 051 / 42 NM 01:18:
A. 06/01:05:50Z
B. 32.45 deg N 078.72 deg W
C. 850 mb 1482 m
D. 1005 mb
E. 015 deg 12 kt
F. NA
G. NA
H. 26 kt
I. 212 deg 44 nm 00:51:30Z
J. 317 deg 20 kt
K. 212 deg 54 nm 00:48:30Z
L. 51 kt
M. 051 deg 40 nm 01:18:00Z
N. 147 deg 55 kt
O. 051 deg 42 nm 01:18:30Z
P. 17 C / 1519 m
Q. 20 C / 1522 m
R. 16 C / NA
S. 12345 / 8
T. 0.02 / 15 nm
U. AF303 0303A CHANTAL OB 03
MAX FL WIND 55 KT 051 / 42 NM 01:18:
...FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS FROM CHANTAL SHOULD INCREASE OVERNIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.7N 78.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
——-
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0300Z 32.7N 78.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 33.6N 79.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 07/0000Z 34.8N 79.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 07/1200Z 36.0N 78.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Blake
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.7N 78.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM E OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
——-
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/0300Z 32.7N 78.8W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 06/1200Z 33.6N 79.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 07/0000Z 34.8N 79.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 07/1200Z 36.0N 78.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Blake
Flooding is the biggest concern from Chantal. This covers NE SC and SE NC. The main area of solid rain is just entering these areas:
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1250 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2025
NCZ099-109-110-SCZ054-058-059-061215-
/O.NEW.KILM.FA.A.0002.250705T1700Z-250708T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLUMBUS-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY-CENTRAL
HORRY-NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, LONG BEACH, SHALLOTTE, OAK
ISLAND, AYNOR, LONGS, SOUTHPORT, LORIS, BUCKSPORT, CHADBOURN,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, GARDEN CITY, SOCASTEE, SUNSET BEACH, GREEN
SEA, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, LELAND, WHITEVILLE, LITTLE RIVER, TABOR
CITY, LAKE WACCAMAW, AND CONWAY
1250 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2025
..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
* WHAT...FLASH FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.
* WHERE...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA, INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS, COASTAL BRUNSWICK, COLUMBUS AND INLAND BRUNSWICK
AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS,
CENTRAL HORRY, COASTAL HORRY AND NORTHERN HORRY.
* WHEN...THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF RIVERS,
CREEKS, STREAMS, AND OTHER LOW-LYING AND FLOOD-PRONE LOCATIONS.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- HEAVY RAIN FROM TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WILL INCREASINGLY
EFFECT THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
- WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1250 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2025
NCZ099-109-110-SCZ054-058-059-061215-
/O.NEW.KILM.FA.A.0002.250705T1700Z-250708T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
COLUMBUS-INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-COASTAL HORRY-CENTRAL
HORRY-NORTHERN HORRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MYRTLE BEACH, LONG BEACH, SHALLOTTE, OAK
ISLAND, AYNOR, LONGS, SOUTHPORT, LORIS, BUCKSPORT, CHADBOURN,
BOILING SPRING LAKES, GARDEN CITY, SOCASTEE, SUNSET BEACH, GREEN
SEA, NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, LELAND, WHITEVILLE, LITTLE RIVER, TABOR
CITY, LAKE WACCAMAW, AND CONWAY
1250 PM EDT SAT JUL 5 2025
..FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
* WHAT...FLASH FLOODING CAUSED BY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE.
* WHERE...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA, INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS, COASTAL BRUNSWICK, COLUMBUS AND INLAND BRUNSWICK
AND NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS,
CENTRAL HORRY, COASTAL HORRY AND NORTHERN HORRY.
* WHEN...THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...EXCESSIVE RUNOFF MAY RESULT IN FLOODING OF RIVERS,
CREEKS, STREAMS, AND OTHER LOW-LYING AND FLOOD-PRONE LOCATIONS.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- HEAVY RAIN FROM TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WILL INCREASINGLY
EFFECT THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
- WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/FLOOD
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.
From someone visiting N Myrtle Beach, he said this at ~1AM, it’s gotten quite stormy there (consistent with the radar):
“Hello everyone, I normally post on the New England forum however I am in North Myrtle Beach and the weather has quickly deteriorated to heavy squalls and the wind has increased considerably in the last 30 minutes from an estimated 10 to 15 miles an hour to 20 to 25 with a couple of gusts that have been 40mph at least, I don’t have an anemometer however I think that is a pretty close estimate.”
“Hello everyone, I normally post on the New England forum however I am in North Myrtle Beach and the weather has quickly deteriorated to heavy squalls and the wind has increased considerably in the last 30 minutes from an estimated 10 to 15 miles an hour to 20 to 25 with a couple of gusts that have been 40mph at least, I don’t have an anemometer however I think that is a pretty close estimate.”
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
...CHANTAL A LITTLE STRONGER AND CLOSE TO LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST...
...FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS INCREASE AS RAINBANDS MOVES ONSHORE...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 78.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
Recent aircraft and land-based radar velocity data indicate that
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall,
with rapid weakening forecast after landfall.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center. Within the past hour, Springmaid Pier in South
Carolina reported a sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) gusting to
56 mph (90 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force dropsonde
data is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
...CHANTAL A LITTLE STRONGER AND CLOSE TO LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST...
...FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS INCREASE AS RAINBANDS MOVES ONSHORE...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 78.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
Recent aircraft and land-based radar velocity data indicate that
maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with
higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall,
with rapid weakening forecast after landfall.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center. Within the past hour, Springmaid Pier in South
Carolina reported a sustained wind of 47 mph (76 km/h) gusting to
56 mph (90 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force dropsonde
data is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
lexxnchloe
Member
