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Tropical TS Chantal 2025

Assuming the flow is correct, Haw at Bynum is pushing 50,000 cubic feet a second, that’s about half what the Guadeloupe was at peak near Kerrville on the morning of 7/4.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1042 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2025

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY AND
INCREASED IN DURATION FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NORTH CAROLINA...

HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER AFFECTING ALAMANCE COUNTY.

250707T1727Z.NO/
1042 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2025

..FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

* WHAT...MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST.

* WHERE...HAW RIVER AT HAW RIVER.

* WHEN...UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...AT 18.0 FEET, MINOR FLOODING BEGINS. OVERFLOW BEGINS ON
BOTH BANKS AT THE WATER TREATMENT PLANT.
AT 20.0 FEET, THERE IS SIGNIFICANT OVERFLOW ON THE RIGHT BANK
OPPOSITE THE WATER TREATMENT PLANT. WATER ALSO REACHES THE RED
SLIDE PARK UPSTREAM OF THE MAIN ST. BRIDGE.
AT 23.0 FEET, MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS. FLOODING REACHES THE BASE
OF THE WATER TREATMENT PLANT BUILDING. THERE IS ALSO SIGNIFICANT
FLOODING OF THE RED SLIDE PARK UPSTREAM OF THE MAIN ST. BRIDGE,
AND LANG ST WILL BE IMPASSABLE
AT 25.5 FEET, THE WATER TREATMENT PLANT BUILDING FLOODS.
AT 26.0 FEET, TRAILER HOMES ADJACENT TO THE RIVER AND THE WATER
TREATMENT PLANT FLOOD. EVACUATIONS MAY BE NECESSARY.
AT 27.0 FEET, MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS. THE TOWN OF HAW RIVER BEGINS
TO FLOOD.
AT 28.0 FEET, FLOOD WATERS REACH THE BOTTOM OF THE BRIDGE ACROSS I40.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- AT 9:45 PM EDT SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET.
- FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO A CREST OF 27.5
FEET JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. IT WILL THEN FALL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
- FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET.
- FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF
26.3 FEET ON 09/17/2018.
- HTTP://www.weather.gov/SAFETY/FLOOD



FLD OBSERVED FORECASTS (8 PM EDT)
LOCATION STG STG DAY/TIME MON TUE WED THU

HAW RIVER
HAW RIVE 18.0 25.5 SUN 9 PM EDT 14.0 10.6 8.4 6.0
 
If this had been snow, I would have been mad to miss out just to the east. But my 3" is perfect compared to the 10"+ just to my west. I do worry about the water rise to Falls Lake. I bet they're releasing the max amount of water at the dam right now. Might run over there later this morning.
 
Drove home from the Triad (and the mountains earlier in the day) last night. Got back at midnight and it was probably the scariest drive of my life. 40 was completely flooded at one spot, so we got off and tried a side road which had trees down and another completely flooded spot, so we had to turn around along with a ton of other cars. Eventually found 40 again and we must’ve gotten around the currently flooded area, so we were able to take it the rest of the way from there. Insane stuff. I guess driving last night was a bad idea, but it was a busy weekend and I wasn’t paying super close attention to how bad the storm had gotten. 🤦‍♂️

I can see how dangerous flooding can be at night. It’s hard to see the areas of standing water in the dark.
 
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