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Wintry The Webber/1300m/Kylo/Jon/Whatalife Storm January 12th-14th

accu35 said:
With a low that's deep as advertised, you would think the moisture ahead would be richer.
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We need that low in the gulf to help us. The WAA is killing us. Almost rinse and repeat of the December storm. Glad it is 6 days out still.
 
RC’s friend, the GL low, has returned on the 0Z GFS.
 
Interesting look on H5, almost think this is going to phase and be a paste bomb for the middle Atlantic and northeast.
 
Isn't quite as big of a paster for the mid Atlantic and northeast as I thought it'd be but it's getting close to being that way.

0z CMC has some snow for Arkansas and Tennessee, then doesn't know what it's doing with the energy (H5 on my source isn't to 150 yet).
 
Not sure what the cmc doing. Moisture just kinda strung out and flat I don’t know


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GFS had 2 sepearate pieces of energy dropping down..? Triple phaser? Thoughts? 8C1C7DF5-1CD2-4BA2-A965-D486B2E0AC23.png
 
Jessy89 said:
What would it mean for upstate if all 3 waves phased?


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From my understanding we don’t want it to be there at all but if it is we want it slower and digging further south. I’m just relaying information from the MA thread but it makes sense. What hurts them hurts us. The further north it closes off the worse our snow chances
 
Jessy89 said:
That was a great snow for a lot of the southeast.


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But what was THE storm of the century! You can dream about a repeat all you want but it could easily be 2100+ before another one. In the meantime, there are other ways to get still really big snows even if not as big as the heaviest of 1993: see Feb of 1973, March of 1980/1983, Jan of 1982, Jan of 1988, Carolina Crusher (2000), Feb of 2004, Mar of 2009 for some examples. Many of these were merely weak but very moist Gulf lows quite far south that interacted just right with a cold high to the north. Maybe they weren't blizzards but they were still memorable storms in their own right.
 
GaWx said:
But what was THE storm of the century! You can dream about a repeat all you want but it could easily be 2100+ before another one. In the meantime, there are other ways to get still really big snows even if not as big as the heaviest of 1993: see Feb of 1973, March of 1980/1983, Jan of 1982, Jan of 1988, Carolina Crusher (2000), Feb of 200, Mar of 2009 for some examples. Many of these were merely weak but very moist Gulf lows quite far south that interacted just right with a cold high to the north.
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Doc will be telling. It’s weaker and further south with the low. (As you know)
 
GaWx said:
But what was THE storm of the century! You can dream about a repeat all you want but it could easily be 2100+ before another one. In the meantime, there are other ways to get still really big snows even if not as big as the heaviest of 1993: see Feb of 1973, March of 1980/1983, Jan of 1982, Jan of 1988, Carolina Crusher (2000), Feb of 2004, Mar of 2009 for some examples. Many of these were merely weak but very moist Gulf lows quite far south that interacted just right with a cold high to the north.
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2010/2011 was a good storm saw 8 inches from that one


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Fv3 cuts north big time but still a front end thump.


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Can someone please post gefs members for our new members, I would but my Wi-Fi is taking fo ever to load
 
0z FV3 is further north than the furthest north GEFS member. Just this morning I gave the FV3 props for being so consistent and it thanks me with a middle finger and 2 cycles of GFS-ish behavior.

Euro: ehhh, what low

Smh
 
GaWx said:
Euro has no GOM surface low this time unlike prior two runs.
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Unreal, our 2 best models go 2 completely different directions and both break continuity just as we reach their wheelhouses lol. Needless to say they are struggling with this pattern. I would guess middle of the road is pretty close to MJO8/COD climo?
 
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