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The June Thread 2021

Jordan Lake area is the big winner so far. No thunder with Round 1 but a bit of wind and some intense rainfall. Round two incoming now with some thunder.
 
The setup across NC with the sea breeze/coastal front interacting with the upper level flow is nice. I wouldn't be surprised if some areas picked up 3-6" today and tomorrow. The models don't do a great job picking up the small scale features, and it's usually the HRRR or other convective-scale models that pick it up within 12 hours of an event.
 
The setup across NC with the sea breeze/coastal front interacting with the upper level flow is nice. I wouldn't be surprised if some areas picked up 3-6" today and tomorrow. The models don't do a great job picking up the small scale features, and it's usually the HRRR or other convective-scale models that pick it up within 12 hours of an event.
Totally agree .. models were quite under done with today’s heavy showers and thunderstorm .. I expect the next couple days to provide more than what models are showing .. getting another very heavy downpour now .. we’re racking up
 
Looks like RDU is already at 1.46 inches of rain for today.. and I have a feeling next hourly update will put us near 2 inches that’s what I would suspect our rain amounts have been today... thank you Mother Nature ??
 
Totally agree .. models were quite under done with today’s heavy showers and thunderstorm .. I expect the next couple days to provide more than what models are showing .. getting another very heavy downpour now .. we’re racking up

Yep. This morning I saw the sea breeze moving inland from the SSE (Heading NW). If you check out the radar, the flow with low-topped thunderstorms off the coast are coming form the SSE while the inland convection is heading to the NE. The areas intersect precisely where the tornado is located. This happens in S. FL just west of the coastal metro areas when there's a SSE flow and upper level winds out of the SW, but the tornadoes are very weak.
 
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