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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
tennessee storm
Member
Bring on the torch ... lol
We should be solidly in P4 heading into P5 in Jan and then roll through 5 and 6 in Feb. We'll get back to 7,8,1,and 2 in spring. Don't be hasty now.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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- 8,655
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Your right man. Even I get frustrated sometimes lol.
Seems like we are starting to see which dump the December dump will turn out to be.....
As if there was ever any question
Last year broke people.....
cd2play
Member
I'm taking one right now
Hahaha right on time!! Here we go! Allan Huffman already punted at least 1/2 if not 2/3rds of December. Not that that's surprising or unexpected. But we've seen this dog and pony show before all decade long. Punting half of a month before that month even starts and hoping for a pattern change is never good because it rarely ever comes.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We’re punting in December?! Wow! I’m so surprised!
Were any mets actually expecting Dec to be cold as a whole? If so, what were they basing that on?
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Correct, I’ll take “warm” rain and storms over 33F & rain just about any day
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
FWIW, the CFSv2 monthly forecast warmed up a lot over the US as a whole today vs prior runs, we are getting to that point in the month where these one month outlooks with little lead time have some respectability
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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Cold November’s help so much!
??
18z GFS.... this may deserve a spot in the whamby thread but it’s not 300 hours out, and there has been this signal of some type of upper level low around that time, 
killer NW flow event on the heels of that thing. Fingers crossed. Could be an epic ride on the polar express in Bryson City that weekend
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No not at all. I'm just pessimistic that it actually flips in Jan the way this decade has been.
That looks just like the Nov 2014 event. Yo Reid, you gonna hit jackpot again? Lol
whatalife
Moderator
I'm surprised nobody's talking about the 12z GFS happy hour
pcbjr
Member
everybody but you and I must be out imbibing ... surely there will be a "buzz" of activity when the 7 PM well prices rise ...
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Wulfer
Member
This GFS run certainly plays into that latest map for the Tn. Valley and Smokey Mtns!
Is this supposed to be the "December Dumpster Fire" thread? Asking for a friend.
Depends on the day, tomorrow it will be December Dumping Fatties.
That doesn't sound quite right.
NoSnowATL
Member
Ho Ho Ho
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pcbjr
Member
Let's see ... but then, what else can we do?
Ho Ho Ho
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Because that only looks like a mountain event for the most part for now. If it was going to be a board wide event, the forums would be lit!
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pcbjr
Member
Which is a bit of a problem ... if we are focused on weather and not MBY ...
Soapbox ... off ...
If we get the warmth out of the way the first half of the month and then cold and snow just in time for Christmas, I will be ok with that.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Yawn!
Weatherbug. Gotcha!
NoSnowATL
Member
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NoSnowATL
Member
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This guy gets it.
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Don't know enough as to why but nino's, the better nino's, are able to avoid ph4-6 and muddle around in COD or low amp better phases. Sure hoping EPS dives away from 4-6 like those winters.
Keep in mind, the red/green lines are for Jan/Feb.
Keep in mind, the red/green lines are for Jan/Feb.
It looks like so far it has been. We're not into December yet, but it's running (and looks to mostly continue to run) at a fairly low amplitude. But there is a lot of spread. Could go either way.
How in the crap does Franklin, Va get 2.6” and no where within a hundred miles sees a trace?