• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern The Great December Dump

Poimen said:
Unfortunately, it begins the phase over the Carolina Piedmont, which will be cool to watch from a pure meteorological interest, but not so much for us Southern winter-weather lovers (I know you know this). But alas, all of these details will certainly change between now and whenever the storm arrives.
Click to expand...

The track of the system itself is perfect for us in MS, AL, GA and TN. The biggest issue is having to rely on the phase to pull in enough cold air .
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Im not sure we want Dec to be different than previous Decembers given the last 2 were epic.
Click to expand...

Not sure I consider it epic. Up where you were it probably was epic. Last Dec we had a great event the first week but after that the winter was awful. I would happily take a 17/18 repeat.
 
Given the past storms and how they were modeled they always warm up 8-9 days out only to come back 5-7 days out. I feel like it has something to do with the ensembles and how they compute the data from the launches. I feel like we may be surprised on the next suite on both suites.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Arcc said:
The track of the system itself is perfect for us in MS, AL, GA and TN. The biggest issue is having to rely on the phase to pull in enough cold air .
Click to expand...

A big phase that far south is really rare...like March 1993 rare. You're likely gonna need a LP system that is around 980mb or so in the Carolinas for it to bring enough cold air for the comma head snows on the backside. I just wouldn't bank on a system like that.
 
LovingGulfLows said:
A big phase that far south is really rare...like March 1993 rare. You're likely gonna need a LP system that is around 980mb or so in the Carolinas for it to bring enough cold air for the comma head snows on the backside. I just wouldn't bank on a system like that.
Click to expand...

93 was triple phase if my memory is right . Very rare.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Meteorologist1999 said:
12z Nam shows wonderful separation.
Click to expand...
Well, that's something at least
namconus_z500_vort_us_48.png
 
Probably gonna see some overrunning snow, still looks solid in the SW and hasn’t been absorbed yet like the previous run
 
Gfs is trending to leaving more energy behind instead of it getting absorbed, this allows moisture to run into cold (overrunning), and it’s this allows a more classic overrunning look vs a anafrontal look, certainly the separation helps 68F3C5CD-2CA6-470F-B2DF-25D0AAFC0BAF.gif
 
Not looking bad, if the energy could be a bit less strung out (I think?) I'd be very interested if I were in Tennessee but as it is some could see some light snows there.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top