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Pattern The Great December Dump

Honestly though, we've seen these situations where models start spitting out winter storms, first at this hour or that hour, one system, then another, not that one but this one and usually it is very indicative of winter weather pattern and usually (not always) something does eventually pan out. Gonna be some tough days/nights ahead, ups/downs, but I'll be shocked if a good number on here don't see something wintry in the next 2 weeks or so.
 
metwannabe said:
Honestly though, we've seen these situations where models start spitting out winter storms, first at this hour or that hour, one system, then another, not that one but this one and usually it is very indicative of winter weather pattern and usually (not always) something does eventually pan out. Gonna be some tough days/nights ahead, ups/downs, but I'll be shocked if a good number on here don't see something wintry in the next 2 weeks or so.
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Yes, this is exactly what I was talking about when I said I have seen this movie before with the back and forth on the models. When this happens it is a very strong indicator that we're most likely going to get one to come to fruition in the next two weeks.
 
packfan98 said:
Incoming Winter storm for NC CAD regions at hr 300. At the very least, we are not in a sucky pattern and there are some opportunities to score. During these times, operational and ensembles will have some colorful maps to look at...
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I'm much more interested in Christmas week tbh but the ends of the ensemble runs aren't really agreeing

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Myfrotho704_ said:
this could work, tad bit slower and stronger vs yesterdays, lets see what it does as it heads east, ofc you don't want it to be to slow View attachment 27103
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Yeah I was thinking same thing, looks good so far but now watch it get bogged down in the SW....
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
uh that's a solid signal from the GEFS from now-240, wouldn't call that little ensemble support
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Myfrotho704_ said:
uh that's a solid signal from the GEFS from now-240, wouldn't call that little ensemble support
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Based on the panel's above I only see 3 of 20 with anything decent for most on this board. What am I missing?
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Based on the panel's above I only see 3 of 20 with anything decent for most on this board. What am I missing?
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The fact that this board is more than SC, there are threats on just about every member for portions of the SE
 
metwannabe said:
Yeah I was thinking same thing, looks good so far but now watch it get bogged down in the SW....
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yep, fine line here, either gets stuck with weak flow that will be very slow to push it out of the Southwest or like the GFS the SW gets caught up in the trough and flies, or get what you got yesterday on the euro where it slows and starts getting back into faster flow which creates the best setup we can find with this pattern
 
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