ForsythSnow
Moderator
I have never seen so much hype for a cold front before. Please don't get hyped up for this. There is nothing to see.
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Philstorm91
Member
From some on this thread, it would seem that I need to plan to visit Jackson, MS again next Tuesday morning to see the icy goods.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Why does it matter if people get hyped or not? He is putting out what he thinks could happen and why. Everyone so quick to shoot it down.
on this. I’d get it if the FV3 or the Euro were putting out several inches of snow like the one in November, but we have nothing. Unless we get another December 2017 storm, Anafronts are dead to me. Lol.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Jessy89
Member
The players are at least on the field I’ll give you that much. But if this things gonna happen models need to start showing it.
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I think the mountains would have the best shot at anything this early in the game. If this were a situation where snow pack was abundant to our north and a stalled arctic front that would be much different. If for any reason what you highlight works out for this area I will be the first to buy you a beer lol.
Broken024
Member
It doesn't matter. . People are just telling him he is likely wrong. Why does that matter to you?
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Brick Tamland
Guest
If it doesn't matter then there is no need to tell people to not get hyped for it.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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If you zoom in real close Al/Ga line then you can see some mixing blending in on the gfs tonight. All I'm saying, is there could be a chance that something happens big or small. Gefs has been showing this potential for days now.
I’m not hyping or nothing, but there has been a interesting trend on the GFS, still temps are mostly to warm, but the trends on the GFS has been a slightly stronger western Atlantic ridge (helps with moisture but to much can mean it’s to warm) and less of a PV Lobe press with allows more moisture for the Carolinas/GA/AL, mostly a anafront tho, look how bad the GFS is tho with that low in SE Canada which will end up acting as a 50/50 low and destroy any sort of transient -NAO 
JLL1973
Member
It’s still 6-7 days away. Plenty of time for models to catch on to something
Euro/GFS are in surprising agreement with the H5 pattern at around 200 hours, it’s meh for a winter event due to AN heights in the SE but there is that Shortwave in the SW/near Mexico
As much as I don’t believe this will happen, I also have learned to not discount a possibility. You know what else was a cold front with not much to see a week out, 12/08/17. How do I know? Because I said something like it. The ICON is much closer than anything else at this point. It needs a stronger cold push. Now it’s probably wrong, but for comparison purposes it’s closer to what you want at H5.
Now the “needless hype for a cold front” award goes to that debacle of a thread last year that someone tagged my name in the title.
on this. I’d get it if the FV3 or the Euro were putting out several inches of snow like the one in November, but we have nothing. Unless we get another December 2017 storm, Anafronts are dead to me. Lol.
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12/8/17 wasn’t an “anafront” setup in the sense most people think of. It was a secondary wave/overrunning setup.
GFS is trying to break some 2m temperature records out in fantasy land ? . I think it maybe has a cold bias
Gefs has a good signal for CAD around hour 228-252 and has kept that for the past several runs, but most members have the storm cut or amp up way to much, so most show ice to rain, I’m interested in this Becuase even in the worst case, a in situ CAD would be possible 
However with the first system the gefs Looks unimpressed with it and only a few show anything
CMC hour 222. Trying to throw moisture from the Atlantic in quickly over leftover artic air mass. Temps in the teens prior. Makings of a light icing event or cold rain. May get interesting for spots further west too as it gets closer. 
Brent
Member
Can I cash out on E5 lol
I think a lot of us would cash out in E5... Good times ahead.