NoSnowATL
Member
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
South-based -NAO?
Ho Ho Ho
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The conus block, the block that gives Honduras a better chance at afternoon storms !!!
*moot- FTFY
Should translate to lower heights over French Guiana
cd2play
Member
So are you saying we're finally going to get a -NAO, and still torch? &^#$
Golf7575
Member
Looks that way. Except the NE.
Wow just got a chance to see the 12z euro. What a track. That would be a super awesome snowstorm around many parts of the SE.... if it was cold enough. ?
NoSnowATL
Member
Told ya!
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Told ya!
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@pcbjr has been repeatedly telling us the real cold comes in January.
NoSnowATL
Member
Never heard of such name before.
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He may not be well known now, but just wait til a month from now and folks will be paying a lot for his autograph.
This is just beyond depressing. In fact that will be solidly top five on the winter fail scale if it verified.
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Golf7575
Member
Phase 7 looks better to me if it happened imo.
ATLwxfan
Member
Drought will be obliterated y’all. This is a good thing.
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Yes it would. How bad was 2m?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Told ya!
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A tropical forcing flip sometime at the very tail end of Dec or early January is something I've discussed for nearly a month now on multiple occasions, nice to see it potentially coming to fruition.
Nov 18: "Looks like the pattern in that particular winter (1965-66) flipped sometime in early January & then the bottom fell out in mid-late January in eastern North America. Anticipating a pattern change somewhere in this timeframe seems to fit w/ tropical subseasonal forcing evolution, which I anticipate will return to the "favorable" phases (central Pacific & western hemisphere) again around early January "
Also looks like a convectively coupled Kelvin Wave is showing up on those EPS VP200 plots. As I noted a few weeks ago, this is one way we can really stir the pot near the holiday season and looks like we're gonna try to do exactly that as the EPO attempts to reverse near the turn of the new year.
"One way I envision that we could really stir the pot sometime around early January or the very end of Dec would be to have a convectively coupled kelvin wave dislodge itself from the Indian Ocean standing wave at the same time a -NPO/-EPO flip occurs"
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Phase 7 in January loves to produce winter storms in the Carolinas.