It’s been showing this for more than 1 time, 4th run in a row, this storm has a look that could produce and be strong due to blocking, and I doubt he’s hyping
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
It’s been showing this for more than 1 time, 4th run in a row, this storm has a look that could produce and be strong due to blocking, and I doubt he’s hyping
accu35
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- Jan 5, 2017
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This is not one run, this has been consistent. Know your models
My bad. I try to add, “taking verbatim” in there, but sometimes with runs like these, it’s easy to forget.
If that blocking beneath the land of green keeps trending stronger, watch out..all assuming the GFS is correct with the general setup..either way, I haven’t seen heights like this in a while ? 
WxBlue
Meteorologist
We'll see if this is another phantom storm, but at least the NAO block could be there this time. I'd looooove to see ECMWF's support before getting excited about this.
Jessy89
Member
For upstate sc and NE ga people we need this to get it’s act together a little quicker.
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Broken024
Member
What say o canada?
The GFS actually has trended cooler with this system. Great to see.
To be honest Gfs has been completely consistent with this type of storm signal for a while now ... first had big snow then turned warmer and now it’s trending colder as we get closer .. something to watch
Plus the GEFS jumped on board the last run. When that happens I can’t help but be enthused. Although, the EPS doesn’t have a single member with anything. Red Flag? We’ll see tomorrow morning.
10.6 here at 189 hours and nothing on any other model.... what could go wrong!?
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mydoortotheworld
Member
Do we have any analogs to this system on the GFS verbatim? I’m fascinated with this track and wonder if ATL ever scored with a setup like this
I'm struggling to think of anything right off hand
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I would trust Benedict Arnold with my deepest secrets before I trusted the GFS is correctly modeling a piece of energy going over the Rockies, coalescing into a ULL and then bombing off the coast. Let's pump some brakes.
Also notice the ridge axis out west is ticking westIf that blocking beneath the land of green keeps trending stronger, watch out..all assuming the GFS is correct with the general setup..either way, I haven’t seen heights like this in a whileView attachment 28096
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Something about the Precip shield reminds me of the Carolina Crusher. Though probably a much different storm at H5?
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Agree with this but it's at least fun to look at
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Ridge ticking west as SD mentioned would help the cause. 50/50 low seems to be moving faster but it’s got that dragons tale elongated look.i’ll be honest I’m not sure exactly what we want there