Looks even better than the gfs, Gfs has slowly been getting that look tho, more confluence these past 2 runs, and ridging over that shortwave, get that ridging over it to block it along with that -NAO and it’ll go ?
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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Looks even better than the gfs, Gfs has slowly been getting that look tho, more confluence these past 2 runs, and ridging over that shortwave, get that ridging over it to block it along with that -NAO and it’ll go ?
ATLwxfan
Member
Hard to get excited about a marginal threat effecting the upper south but we can still use the rain down here I suppose and hope that low digs.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
ForsythSnow
Moderator
GEFS a little more excited but still a spread. A few members even have snow on Christmas.
Need to get the Tuesday system big rain out of the way first to see if the latter is legit. I would wager not East of the mtns given no major cold air mass prior, during or hell even after.
Is that a tropical storm approaching hurricane status in the Bahamas at 240 on the euro?
Need the Bahamas hurricane to turn into a nor-Easter and pull some cold air down on the west side.
exactly why I don’t like this setup-
Parker
Member
Anybody have gefs to post?
ATLwxfan
Member
They always seem to make more cold air on the models than they do in reality.
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Hmmm a little GEFS support. Haven't looked at temps, I'm sure marginal but interesting none the lesee
Hello....
Downeastnc
Member
Need that low 100 more miles offshore at least.....anything along or just inland of the coast is usually bad for everyone east of the Triad/foothills anyways....
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Unfortunately most of that comes from 3 members. Member 1 has almost a foot of snow across N GA so that alone produces half an inch on the mean.
Yeah, some show rain with a beautiful track and even to far south, and the ones that do show snow are big dogs, which is only a few, bottom line, this storm is likely gonna be pretty strong and have big QPF with it
Dude.... stop it! Lol
Yeah, temps are a problem the mean is seriously skewed and those couple of big dogs would be a paste bomb dependent on dynamic cooling
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Whoa... that's weird.So why are the members different on another site? Do they really shuffle around?
The euro doesn't look horrible
ajr
Member
CIPS analogs for the 12/21 period from this range don’t look terrible...
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